Language:English
Xinyu Wang v Joanna Garland
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Xinyu Wang (Local)
Prediction 74.56%1.34fair odd
EV +0.652%
Edge +0.483%
Kelly +1.86%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 1.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.62%74.78%74.50%76.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.271.271.3581.97%78.97%78.74%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Joanna Garland (Visit)
Prediction 25.44%3.93fair odd
EV +4.32%
Edge +1.05%
Kelly +1.39%
Growth +0.060%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.22%25.22%25.50%27.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.703.704.1028.99%27.00%27.03%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Xinyu Wang (Local): 74.56%; Joanna Garland (Visit): 25.44%. For Joanna Garland (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.93. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.32%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.55%E -6.09%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +4.32%E +1.05%K +1.39%G +0.060% | 5.0% | 2026-09-24 06:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.12%EV -4.57%E -3.57%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.88%EV +3.81%E +0.933%K +1.24%G +0.047% | 2.6% | 2026-09-24 06:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.80%E -5.44%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.77%E +0.443%K +0.591%G +0.010% | 5.0% | 2026-09-24 07:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.04%E -7.41%K -41.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +1.77%E +0.443%K +0.591%G +0.010% | 7.0% | 2026-09-24 06:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.53%EV -6.06%E -4.81%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.47%EV -1.03%E -0.264%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 07:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -3.82%E -2.96%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -2.04%E -0.531%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-24 06:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.80%E -5.44%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -2.04%E -0.531%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-24 07:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.39%EV -6.80%E -5.44%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.61%EV -2.55%E -0.667%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-24 07:28 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.82%E -2.96%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.32%E -0.873%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-24 00:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.82%E -2.96%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.32%E -0.873%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-24 00:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.82%E -2.96%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.59%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-24 01:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.57%E -3.57%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.59%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-24 06:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.31%E -4.18%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.59%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-24 07:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.31%E -4.18%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.59%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-24 05:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.80%E -5.44%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.59%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-24 06:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.80%E -5.44%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.59%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-24 07:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.80%E -5.44%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.59%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-24 06:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.04%E -7.41%K -41.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.59%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-24 06:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.04%E -7.41%K -41.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.59%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-24 07:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.57%E -3.57%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.86%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-24 07:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.31%E -4.18%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.86%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-23 20:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.31%E -4.18%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.86%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-24 06:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.31%E -4.18%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.86%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-24 05:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.31%E -4.18%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.86%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-24 05:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.31%E -4.18%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.86%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-24 05:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.31%E -4.18%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.86%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-24 05:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.31%E -4.18%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.86%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-24 05:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.31%E -4.18%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.86%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-24 05:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.31%E -4.18%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.86%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-24 05:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.31%E -4.18%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.86%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-24 05:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.31%E -4.18%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.86%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-24 05:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.31%E -4.18%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.86%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-24 05:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.31%E -4.18%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.86%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-24 05:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.31%E -4.18%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.86%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-24 05:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.31%E -4.18%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.86%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-24 05:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.31%E -4.18%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.86%E -1.58%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-24 05:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.99%EV -3.82%E -2.96%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.01%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-24 05:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.31%E -4.18%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.13%E -1.95%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-24 06:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.31%E -4.18%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.13%E -1.95%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-24 06:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.31%E -4.18%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.13%E -1.95%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-24 06:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.31%E -4.18%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.13%E -1.95%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-24 06:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.82%E -2.96%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.41%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-23 23:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.82%E -2.96%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.41%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-23 23:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.82%E -2.96%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.41%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-23 23:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.82%E -2.96%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.41%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-23 23:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.06%E -4.81%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.41%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-23 23:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.06%E -4.81%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.41%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-24 07:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.80%E -5.44%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.41%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-23 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.80%E -5.44%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.41%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-23 20:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.80%E -5.44%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.41%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-23 20:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -9.04%E -7.41%K -41.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -8.41%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-24 07:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.62%EV +0.652%E +0.483%K +1.86%G +0.012% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.38%EV -8.91%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-23 19:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -6.80%E -5.44%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.68%E -2.73%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-24 04:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -8.29%E -6.74%K -36.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -10.95%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-24 05:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.57%E -3.57%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -12.22%E -3.54%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-23 20:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.57%E -3.57%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -12.22%E -3.54%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-23 20:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -6.80%E -5.44%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -12.22%E -3.54%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-24 06:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-09-24 07:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-09-24 07:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-09-24 07:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35% | 2.7% | 2026-09-24 07:15 |