The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Tatiana Prozorova v Talia Gibson

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 03:00 UTC

Final: Tatiana Prozorova 0–0 Talia Gibson

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tatiana Prozorova (Local)

Prediction 44.96%2.22fair odd
EV +12.41%
Edge +4.96%
Kelly +8.27%
Growth +1.03%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.81%45.04%44.96%46.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.152.152.5050.00%46.51%46.51%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Talia Gibson (Visit)

Prediction 55.04%1.82fair odd
EV -0.936%
Edge -0.520%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.62%54.96%55.04%62.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.701.691.8065.79%58.94%59.17%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tatiana Prozorova (Local): 44.96%; Talia Gibson (Visit): 55.04%. For Tatiana Prozorova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.22. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.41%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV +12.41%E +4.96%K +8.27%G +1.03%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -16.35%E -10.75%K -31.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 20:45
Bet Right🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.98%E -0.907%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.54%E -4.49%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-25 21:25
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.33%E -1.55%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.99%E -4.14%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-25 21:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.33%E -1.55%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.54%E -4.49%K -11.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 21:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.33%E -1.55%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.09%E -4.84%K -12.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-25 21:24
Pinnacle🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92%EV -4.68%E -2.21%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08%EV -0.936%E -0.520%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-25 21:45
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.59%E -1.46%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-25 20:46
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.07%E -5.04%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.79%E -2.77%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-25 20:44
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.07%E -5.04%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.79%E -2.77%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-25 20:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%1.4%2026-09-25 20:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%1.4%2026-09-25 20:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%1.4%2026-09-25 20:45