Language:English
Talia Gibson v Viktória Morvayová
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Talia Gibson (Local)
Prediction 87.99%1.14fair odd
EV -3.21%
Edge -2.92%
Kelly -32.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.75%88.07%88.11%90.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.081.081.1097.09%92.94%92.59%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Viktória Morvayová (Visit)
Prediction 12.01%8.33fair odd
EV +20.09%
Edge +2.01%
Kelly +2.23%
Growth +0.448%
assuming max odds 10.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.58%11.93%11.89%14.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.818.0010.0015.38%12.81%12.50%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Talia Gibson (Local): 87.99%; Viktória Morvayová (Visit): 12.01%. For Viktória Morvayová (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.33. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +20.09%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.73%E -6.35%K -112.16%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +20.09%E +2.01%K +2.23%G +0.448% | 4.3% | 2026-09-24 00:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -7.61%E -7.25%K -152.19%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +14.09%E +1.48%K +1.66%G +0.233% | 5.8% | 2026-09-24 05:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.60%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.40%EV +11.68%E +1.26%K +1.41%G +0.164% | 3.3% | 2026-09-24 05:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +2.08%E +0.244%K +0.277%G +0.006% | 4.4% | 2026-09-24 01:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.73%E -6.35%K -112.16%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +2.08%E +0.244%K +0.277%G +0.006% | 6.1% | 2026-09-24 04:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.71%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 8.49I 11.78%NM 11.29%EV +1.96%E +0.231%K +0.261%G +0.005% | 4.4% | 2026-09-24 04:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.71%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 8.49I 11.78%NM 11.29%EV +1.96%E +0.231%K +0.261%G +0.005% | 4.4% | 2026-09-24 04:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.30%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 8.15I 12.27%NM 11.70%EV -2.13%E -0.261%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-24 04:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.24%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.76%EV -2.73%E -0.337%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-24 04:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.22%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 8.09I 12.36%NM 11.78%EV -2.85%E -0.352%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-24 04:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 04:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 04:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 04:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 04:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 04:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 04:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 04:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 04:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 01:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 04:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 04:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 04:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 04:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 04:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 04:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 04:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 05:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 04:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 04:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.85%E -5.47%K -83.57%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-24 00:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.85%E -5.47%K -83.57%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-24 00:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.73%E -6.35%K -112.16%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-23 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.73%E -6.35%K -112.16%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -3.93%E -0.491%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-23 17:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.07%EV -5.85%E -5.47%K -83.57%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.93%EV -5.13%E -0.649%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-24 04:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -3.21%E -2.92%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV -6.33%E -0.811%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-24 05:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -6.33%E -0.811%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-24 04:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.27%EV -9.37%E -9.10%K -312.31%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.73%EV -6.93%E -0.894%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-24 03:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.93%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-23 17:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.93%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-23 17:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.93%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-24 01:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.93%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-24 04:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.93%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-24 04:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.93%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-24 04:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.93%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-24 04:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.85%E -5.47%K -83.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -9.93%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-24 01:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.85%E -5.47%K -83.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -9.93%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-24 04:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -5.85%E -5.47%K -83.57%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -12.93%E -1.78%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-24 05:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -5.85%E -5.47%K -83.57%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -12.93%E -1.78%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-24 05:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -4.09%E -3.75%K -45.44%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -13.53%E -1.88%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-23 20:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.21%E -2.92%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -15.94%E -2.28%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-24 04:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -15.94%E -2.28%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-24 04:48 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 87.17%EV -9.37%E -9.10%K -312.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -15.94%E -2.28%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-24 04:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -21.94%E -3.38%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-24 04:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -21.94%E -3.38%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-23 17:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -21.94%E -3.38%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-24 04:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -21.94%E -3.38%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-24 04:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -4.97%E -4.60%K -62.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -21.94%E -3.38%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-24 04:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93% | 0.7% | 2026-09-24 05:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-09-24 04:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-09-24 04:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-09-24 04:50 |