Language:English
Talia Gibson v Amanda Anisimova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Talia Gibson (Local)
Prediction 25.41%3.94fair odd
EV +5.19%
Edge +1.25%
Kelly +1.65%
Growth +0.086%
assuming max odds 4.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.76%25.28%25.55%29.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.753.754.1431.25%26.70%26.67%24.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Amanda Anisimova (Visit)
Prediction 74.59%1.34fair odd
EV -0.793%
Edge -0.596%
Kelly -2.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.80%74.72%74.45%77.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.261.251.3383.33%79.56%80.00%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Talia Gibson (Local): 25.41%; Amanda Anisimova (Visit): 74.59%. For Talia Gibson (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.94. 19 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.14, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.19%.
Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.76%EV +5.19%E +1.25%K +1.65%G +0.086% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.24%EV -9.00%E -7.38%K -40.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-22 06:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.72%EV +2.14%E +0.533%K +0.709%G +0.015% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.28%EV -6.76%E -5.41%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-22 05:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.63%E +0.409%K +0.545%G +0.009% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.76%E -5.41%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-22 06:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.63%E +0.409%K +0.545%G +0.009% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.76%E -5.41%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-22 06:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.46%EV +1.13%E +0.283%K +0.378%G +0.004% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.54%EV -9.00%E -7.38%K -40.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-22 06:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +0.364%E +0.092%K +0.123%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -6.76%E -5.41%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-22 06:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +0.364%E +0.092%K +0.123%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -6.76%E -5.41%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-22 06:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +0.364%E +0.092%K +0.123%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -6.76%E -5.41%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-22 06:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +0.364%E +0.092%K +0.123%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -6.76%E -5.41%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-22 06:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +0.364%E +0.092%K +0.123%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -6.76%E -5.41%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-22 06:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +0.364%E +0.092%K +0.123%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -6.76%E -5.41%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-22 06:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +0.364%E +0.092%K +0.123%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -6.76%E -5.41%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-22 06:07 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +0.364%E +0.092%K +0.123%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -6.76%E -5.41%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-22 06:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +0.364%E +0.092%K +0.123%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -6.76%E -5.41%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-22 06:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +0.364%E +0.092%K +0.123%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -6.76%E -5.41%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-22 06:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +0.364%E +0.092%K +0.123%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -6.76%E -5.41%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-22 06:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +0.364%E +0.092%K +0.123%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -6.76%E -5.41%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-22 06:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +0.364%E +0.092%K +0.123%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -6.76%E -5.41%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-22 06:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +0.364%E +0.092%K +0.123%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -6.76%E -5.41%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-22 06:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -0.907%E -0.233%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.27%E -4.15%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-22 05:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.907%E -0.233%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.01%E -4.77%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-22 06:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.45%E -0.907%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.27%E -4.15%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-22 06:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -3.45%E -0.907%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -9.00%E -7.38%K -40.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-22 06:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.78%E -2.93%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-22 06:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.52%E -3.53%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-22 06:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.27%E -4.15%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-22 06:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.27%E -4.15%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-22 06:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.01%E -4.77%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-22 06:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.01%E -4.77%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-22 06:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.76%E -5.41%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-22 06:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.00%E -7.38%K -40.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-22 06:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.00%E -7.38%K -40.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-22 06:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -10.49%E -8.74%K -52.45%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-22 06:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.27%E -4.15%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-22 06:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.27%E -4.15%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-22 05:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.27%E -4.15%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-22 06:13 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.78%E -2.93%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-22 05:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.78%E -2.93%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-22 05:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.78%E -2.93%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-22 05:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.78%E -2.93%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-22 05:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.01%E -4.77%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-22 06:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.76%E -5.41%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-22 06:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.76%E -5.41%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-22 05:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.76%E -5.41%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-22 05:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.80%E -2.76%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -6.01%E -4.77%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-22 06:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.80%E -2.76%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -6.76%E -5.41%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-22 06:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.76%E -5.41%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-22 06:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.76%E -5.41%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-22 06:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -8.25%E -6.71%K -35.88%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-22 06:07 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -12.34%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.52%E -3.53%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-22 06:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -12.34%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.52%E -3.53%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-22 05:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -13.61%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.28%EV -7.51%E -6.05%K -31.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-22 06:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -13.61%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.43%EV -8.25%E -6.71%K -35.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-22 06:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -17.42%E -5.36%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -0.793%E -0.596%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-22 06:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -18.69%E -5.84%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -1.54%E -1.17%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-22 06:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48% | 6.3% | 2026-09-22 06:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48% | 6.3% | 2026-09-22 06:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92% | 8.3% | 2026-09-22 06:45 |
| Novig◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24% | 9.3% | 2026-09-22 06:20 |