Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Storm Hunter v Joanna Garland

Kickoff: 2026-09-21 13:12 UTC

Final: Storm Hunter 1–2 Joanna Garland

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Storm Hunter (Local)

Prediction 45.33%2.21fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -0.962%
Kelly -1.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.42%45.23%45.33%46.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.082.052.1650.00%48.19%48.78%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Joanna Garland (Visit)

Prediction 54.67%1.83fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -2.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.62%54.77%54.67%56.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.731.731.7960.61%57.69%57.64%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Storm Hunter (Local): 45.33%; Joanna Garland (Visit): 54.67%. For Storm Hunter (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.21. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.16, with an expected value of -2.08%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.08%E -0.962%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-21 11:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.08%E -0.962%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-21 11:54
DraftKings🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.08%E -0.962%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-21 12:04
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.53%E -1.18%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-21 12:14
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.53%E -1.18%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.61%E -4.51%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-21 12:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -2.53%E -1.18%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.80%E -5.94%K -15.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-21 12:45
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -3.44%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV -2.15%E -1.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-21 11:40
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.89%E -1.84%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-21 12:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.69%E -1.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-21 09:14
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-21 12:54
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.79%E -2.15%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-21 11:24
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.33%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-21 11:39
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-21 08:14
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-21 08:14
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-21 08:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-21 08:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-21 08:14
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.97%E -3.47%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-21 11:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.97%E -3.47%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-21 11:43
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-21 11:24
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-21 11:54
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.61%E -4.51%K -11.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-21 11:40
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.71%E -5.21%K -13.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-21 11:40
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.71%E -5.21%K -13.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-21 11:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -5.25%E -2.51%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -3.79%E -2.15%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-21 09:14
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.71%E -2.74%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.33%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-21 11:40
ReBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.71%E -2.74%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.33%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-21 10:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.83%EV -5.71%E -2.74%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.17%EV -7.61%E -4.51%K -11.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-21 12:50
Betsson🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -6.61%E -3.21%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-21 09:14
NordicBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -6.61%E -3.21%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-21 09:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.07%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 07:05
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.07%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 07:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.07%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 07:00
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.07%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 07:00
Bally Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.07%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 07:04
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.07%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 07:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.07%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 07:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.07%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 07:00
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.07%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 07:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.07%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 07:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.07%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 07:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.07%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 07:00
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.07%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 07:04
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.07%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 07:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.07%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 06:59
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.07%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.33%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-21 11:40
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.07%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.33%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-21 11:34
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.07%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.33%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-21 11:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.07%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.97%E -3.47%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-21 09:14
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.07%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.97%E -3.47%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-21 11:33
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.07%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.97%E -3.47%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-21 11:33
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.07%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-21 11:54
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.07%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-21 11:33
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.07%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-21 11:33
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.07%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-21 12:34
NetBet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.07%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-21 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.07%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.71%E -5.21%K -13.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-21 11:34
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.07%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.71%E -5.21%K -13.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-21 11:34
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.58%EV -7.97%E -3.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-21 11:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.33%E -4.67%K -9.33%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-21 07:00
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.33%E -4.67%K -9.33%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-21 11:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -9.33%E -4.67%K -9.33%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.97%E -3.47%K -8.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-21 11:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-09-21 12:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-09-21 12:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-09-21 12:45
Novig◎1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%7.3%2026-09-20 20:39