Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rebecca Sramkova v Maja Chwalinska

Kickoff: 2026-09-21 07:24 UTC

Final: Rebecca Sramkova 0–2 Maja Chwalinska

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rebecca Sramkova (Local)

Prediction 35.96%2.78fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -0.674%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.15%35.96%35.96%38.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.612.632.7340.82%38.25%38.02%36.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Maja Chwalinska (Visit)

Prediction 64.04%1.56fair odd
EV -0.091%
Edge -0.059%
Kelly -0.163%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.71%64.04%64.04%65.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.481.481.5671.43%67.66%67.57%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rebecca Sramkova (Local): 35.96%; Maja Chwalinska (Visit): 64.04%. For Maja Chwalinska (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.561. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.560, with an expected value of -0.091%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -1.84%E -0.674%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -5.21%E -3.52%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-21 03:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -1.84%E -0.674%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -5.21%E -3.52%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-21 03:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.92%E -1.08%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.93%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-21 06:23
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.92%E -1.08%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.57%E -3.07%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-21 00:44
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.92%E -1.08%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.21%E -3.52%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-21 03:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.92%E -1.08%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.21%E -3.52%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-21 06:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -2.92%E -1.08%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -10.34%E -7.38%K -25.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-21 00:44
1xBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -3.64%E -1.36%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -5.21%E -3.52%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-21 06:24
ReBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.00%E -1.50%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.21%E -3.52%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-21 06:24
SportsBet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.12%EV -4.36%E -1.64%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.88%EV -7.78%E -5.40%K -17.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-21 03:04
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.72%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.93%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-21 06:23
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.72%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.21%E -3.52%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 04:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.72%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.21%E -3.52%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 15:44
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.72%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.86%E -3.98%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-21 03:14
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.72%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.86%E -3.98%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-21 06:24
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.72%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.86%E -3.98%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-21 06:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.72%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.78%E -5.40%K -17.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-21 07:09
GTbets🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -5.08%E -1.92%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -0.091%E -0.059%K -0.163%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-20 23:49
DraftKings🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.44%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.93%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-21 07:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.44%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.21%E -3.52%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 14:59
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.44%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.21%E -3.52%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 14:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.44%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.21%E -3.52%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 14:59
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.44%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.21%E -3.52%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 14:59
Bally Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.44%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.21%E -3.52%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 14:57
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.44%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.21%E -3.52%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 14:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.44%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.21%E -3.52%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 14:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.44%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.21%E -3.52%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 15:00
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.44%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.21%E -3.52%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 15:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.44%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.21%E -3.52%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 15:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.44%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.21%E -3.52%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 15:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.44%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.21%E -3.52%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 15:24
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.44%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.21%E -3.52%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 15:29
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.44%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.21%E -3.52%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 15:39
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -5.44%E -2.07%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.78%E -5.40%K -17.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 18:09
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.80%E -2.21%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.93%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-21 06:14
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.80%E -2.21%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.93%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-21 06:14
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.80%E -2.21%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.78%E -5.40%K -17.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 18:09
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.51%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.93%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 14:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.51%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.93%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 14:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.51%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.93%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 14:59
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.51%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.93%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 15:19
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.51%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.93%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 15:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.51%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.21%E -3.52%K -10.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-21 07:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.51%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.21%E -3.52%K -10.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-21 06:15
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.51%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.21%E -3.52%K -10.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 17:55
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.51%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.50%E -4.45%K -14.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 17:57
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.51%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.50%E -4.45%K -14.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-21 06:24
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.51%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 17:54
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.51%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.78%E -5.40%K -17.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 21:58
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.93%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-21 06:14
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-21 04:49
BetMGM🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -8.67%E -3.41%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -3.93%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-21 07:04
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.11%E -4.04%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.93%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-21 03:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.11%E -4.04%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.21%E -3.52%K -10.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-21 07:04
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.11%E -4.04%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.21%E -3.52%K -10.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-21 07:04
NetBet (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 36.18%EV -11.19%E -4.53%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -10.34%E -7.38%K -25.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-21 07:10
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -11.91%E -4.86%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -2.65%E -1.75%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-21 07:03
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -11.91%E -4.86%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -2.65%E -1.75%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-21 07:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -11.91%E -4.86%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.31%EV -9.06%E -6.38%K -21.57%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-21 07:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%0.4%2026-09-21 07:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%0.4%2026-09-21 07:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%0.4%2026-09-21 07:10