Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oleksandra Oliynykova v Maja Chwalinska

Kickoff: 2026-09-23 05:03 UTC

Final: Oleksandra Oliynykova 0–2 Maja Chwalinska

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oleksandra Oliynykova (Local)

Prediction 32.46%3.08fair odd
EV +2.91%
Edge +0.917%
Kelly +1.34%
Growth +0.039%

assuming max odds 3.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.79%32.55%32.48%34.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.872.853.1737.74%34.81%35.09%31.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Maja Chwalinska (Visit)

Prediction 67.54%1.48fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -6.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.63%67.45%67.52%69.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.401.401.4474.63%71.20%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oleksandra Oliynykova (Local): 32.46%; Maja Chwalinska (Visit): 67.54%. For Oleksandra Oliynykova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.08. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.91%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 30.79%EV +2.91%E +0.917%K +1.34%G +0.039%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.21%EV -4.77%E -3.38%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-23 04:55
Bet Right🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.990%E -0.325%K -0.483%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.80%E -4.93%K -17.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-23 05:00
DraftKings🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 31.75%EV -2.29%E -0.760%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.25%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-23 04:30
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.61%E -0.871%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.10%E -2.88%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-23 05:00
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.61%E -0.871%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-23 04:55
BetAnything🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.61%E -0.871%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-23 04:55
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.61%E -0.871%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.80%E -4.93%K -17.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-23 04:30
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.61%E -0.871%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.80%E -4.93%K -17.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-23 03:30
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -2.61%E -0.871%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.47%E -5.45%K -20.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-23 04:50
ReBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.24%E -1.44%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.77%E -3.38%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-23 04:35
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.24%E -1.44%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-23 04:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.24%E -1.44%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-23 04:35
Fanatics🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.24%E -1.44%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-23 05:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -4.24%E -1.44%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.82%E -6.54%K -25.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-23 04:35
GTbets🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.10%E -2.88%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-22 10:44
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-23 04:50
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-23 04:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-23 03:40
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-23 04:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -6.12%E -4.40%K -15.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-23 05:00
TAB🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.80%E -4.93%K -17.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-23 04:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.15%E -5.99%K -22.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-23 04:49
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.51%E -2.26%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-23 03:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.83%EV -6.83%E -2.38%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.17%EV -9.50%E -7.09%K -27.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-23 04:55
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.42%E -2.39%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 14:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.42%E -2.39%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 14:44
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.42%E -2.39%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 14:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.42%E -2.39%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 14:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.42%E -2.39%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 14:44
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.42%E -2.39%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 14:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.42%E -2.39%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 14:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.42%E -2.39%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 14:44
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.42%E -2.39%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 14:44
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.42%E -2.39%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 14:44
Bally Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.42%E -2.39%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 14:45
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.42%E -2.39%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 14:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.42%E -2.39%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 14:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.42%E -2.39%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 14:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.42%E -2.39%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 14:44
1xBet🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -8.13%E -2.87%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -2.75%E -1.91%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-23 03:45
FanDuel🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -8.46%E -3.00%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.35%EV -3.42%E -2.39%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-23 03:35
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.80%E -4.93%K -17.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-23 04:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.15%E -5.99%K -22.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-23 04:50
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.15%E -5.99%K -22.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-23 04:50
SportsBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -9.75%E -3.51%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -4.77%E -3.38%K -11.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-23 03:30
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.75%E -1.91%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-22 10:49
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.10%E -2.88%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-23 04:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.10%E -2.88%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-23 04:50
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.10%E -2.88%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-22 11:47
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-23 05:00
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-23 05:00
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.45%E -3.89%K -13.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-22 17:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.50%EV -12.35%E -4.57%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -8.15%E -5.99%K -22.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-22 14:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.92%EV -13.98%E -5.27%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.08%EV -8.15%E -5.99%K -22.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-23 04:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-09-23 04:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-09-23 04:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-09-23 04:55
Novig◎3.17I 31.55%NM 31.24%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.76%1.0%2026-09-23 05:01