Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mirra Andreeva v Leylah Fernandez

Kickoff: 2026-09-25 10:43 UTC

Final: Mirra Andreeva 0–2 Leylah Fernandez

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mirra Andreeva (Local)

Prediction 76.06%1.31fair odd
EV -0.366%
Edge -0.280%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.62%76.01%76.19%77.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.241.241.3184.75%80.46%80.65%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Leylah Fernandez (Visit)

Prediction 23.94%4.18fair odd
EV +2.96%
Edge +0.688%
Kelly +0.896%
Growth +0.027%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.02%23.99%23.81%26.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.944.004.3027.78%25.36%25.00%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mirra Andreeva (Local): 76.06%; Leylah Fernandez (Visit): 23.94%. For Leylah Fernandez (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.18. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.96%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +2.96%E +0.688%K +0.896%G +0.027%5.2%2026-09-25 08:55
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -8.73%E -7.28%K -43.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +1.76%E +0.414%K +0.542%G +0.010%6.9%2026-09-25 08:55
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.87%EV -3.41%E -2.68%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 23.13%EV +1.04%E +0.247%K +0.324%G +0.003%2.4%2026-09-25 10:25
BetAnything🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.45%E -5.24%K -28.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +0.564%E +0.134%K +0.176%G +0.001%5.1%2026-09-25 08:30
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.08%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.71%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.92%EV -0.154%E -0.037%K -0.049%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-25 10:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -1.83%E -0.446%K -0.590%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-25 10:30
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.83%E -0.446%K -0.590%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 08:30
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.83%E -0.446%K -0.590%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.83%E -0.446%K -0.590%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 08:30
Bally Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.83%E -0.446%K -0.590%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 08:30
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.83%E -0.446%K -0.590%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 08:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.83%E -0.446%K -0.590%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 08:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.83%E -0.446%K -0.590%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 08:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.83%E -0.446%K -0.590%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 08:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.83%E -0.446%K -0.590%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 08:30
Casumo🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.83%E -0.446%K -0.590%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 08:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.83%E -0.446%K -0.590%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 08:30
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.83%E -0.446%K -0.590%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 08:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.83%E -0.446%K -0.590%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 08:30
TABtouch🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.83%E -0.446%K -0.590%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 08:30
GTbets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 75.61%EV -0.366%E -0.280%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 24.39%EV -2.79%E -0.687%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.0%2026-09-25 10:05
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.94%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 08:35
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.94%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 10:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.94%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 10:25
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.94%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 10:25
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.94%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 10:25
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.93%E -3.94%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.22%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 10:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.22%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-25 08:30
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.22%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-25 10:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.22%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-25 10:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.22%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-25 08:50
TAB🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.22%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-25 08:30
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.73%E -7.28%K -43.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.22%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-25 08:50
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.73%E -7.28%K -43.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.22%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-25 08:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.73%E -7.28%K -43.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.22%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-25 10:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.41%E -2.68%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -4.46%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-25 10:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.41%E -2.68%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -4.46%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-25 10:30
ReBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.17%E -3.31%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-25 10:29
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 10:25
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.93%E -3.94%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-23 16:39
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-25 10:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.93%E -3.94%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.82%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 10:25
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.93%E -3.94%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.82%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 08:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.69%E -4.59%K -23.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.82%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-25 10:30
Coolbet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -7.82%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-25 08:35
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.10%EV -3.41%E -2.68%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.90%EV -8.30%E -2.17%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-25 10:40
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.93%E -3.94%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-23 16:16
PMU (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.15%EV -9.49%E -7.98%K -49.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.85%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-25 08:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.31%EV -10.25%E -8.69%K -56.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-25 10:39
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.93%E -3.94%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-25 10:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-23 16:40
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.21%E -5.91%K -32.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-23 16:41
NetBet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -7.97%E -6.59%K -37.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-25 10:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.05%EV -6.45%E -5.24%K -28.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -11.41%E -3.08%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-25 10:29
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.89%E -1.46%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 10:25
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.89%E -1.46%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 10:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.89%E -1.46%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 10:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.89%E -1.46%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 10:25
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.65%E -2.07%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-23 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.65%E -2.07%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-23 16:40
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.93%E -3.94%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-25 10:25
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.93%E -3.94%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-25 10:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-09-25 10:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-09-25 10:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-09-25 10:35
Novig◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60%1.7%2026-09-25 10:35