Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.10
assuming max odds 9.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mirra Andreeva (Local): 87.06%; Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Visit): 12.94%. For Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.73. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.46%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -5.98%E -5.53%K -74.69%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +16.46%E +1.83%K +2.06%G +0.339% | 3.7% | 2026-09-23 10:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.96%EV -5.98%E -5.53%K -74.69%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.04%EV +12.58%E +1.45%K +1.63%G +0.205% | 4.1% | 2026-09-23 07:51 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -5.98%E -5.53%K -74.69%G +0.000% | 8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV +3.65%E +0.456%K +0.521%G +0.019% | 5.1% | 2026-09-23 10:18 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.10%E -4.68%K -56.72%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +3.52%E +0.440%K +0.503%G +0.018% | 4.2% | 2026-09-23 08:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.98%E -5.53%K -74.69%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.52%E +0.440%K +0.503%G +0.018% | 5.1% | 2026-09-23 10:26 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.85%E -6.40%K -97.80%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +3.52%E +0.440%K +0.503%G +0.018% | 6.0% | 2026-09-23 10:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.87%EV -4.23%E -3.85%K -42.34%G +0.000% | 7.97I 12.55%NM 12.13%EV +3.13%E +0.393%K +0.449%G +0.014% | 3.5% | 2026-09-23 10:26 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -5.10%E -4.68%K -56.72%G +0.000% | 7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV +1.97%E +0.250%K +0.286%G +0.006% | 4.4% | 2026-09-23 06:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -5.10%E -4.68%K -56.72%G +0.000% | 7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV +1.97%E +0.250%K +0.286%G +0.006% | 4.4% | 2026-09-23 06:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.14%EV -8.59%E -8.18%K -171.74%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV +0.933%E +0.120%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 8.1% | 2026-09-23 07:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -5.10%E -4.68%K -56.72%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV +0.286%E +0.037%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-23 08:01 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -5.10%E -4.68%K -56.72%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -1.66%E -0.218%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-23 09:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.41%EV -5.10%E -4.68%K -56.72%G +0.000% | 7.57I 13.21%NM 12.59%EV -2.04%E -0.270%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-23 06:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.44%EV -5.98%E -5.53%K -74.69%G +0.000% | 7.52I 13.30%NM 12.56%EV -2.69%E -0.358%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-23 06:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.10%E -4.68%K -56.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.95%E -0.393%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-23 09:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.10%E -4.68%K -56.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.95%E -0.393%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-23 09:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.10%E -4.68%K -56.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.95%E -0.393%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-23 06:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.72%E -7.28%K -128.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.95%E -0.393%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-23 07:51 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.72%E -7.28%K -128.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.95%E -0.393%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-23 07:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.72%E -7.28%K -128.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.95%E -0.393%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-23 10:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.26%EV -5.98%E -5.53%K -74.69%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.74%EV -4.24%E -0.573%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-23 10:26 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.47%EV -7.72%E -7.28%K -128.61%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.53%EV -4.24%E -0.573%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-23 10:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.90%EV -4.23%E -3.85%K -42.34%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.10%EV -5.54%E -0.759%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-23 10:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.98%E -5.53%K -74.69%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -6.18%E -0.853%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-23 08:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.35%EV -8.59%E -8.18%K -171.74%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.65%EV -6.18%E -0.853%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-23 10:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -5.98%E -5.53%K -74.69%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -6.83%E -0.949%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-23 08:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -5.98%E -5.53%K -74.69%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -6.83%E -0.949%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-23 08:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.23%E -3.85%K -42.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.42%E -1.35%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-22 16:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.23%E -3.85%K -42.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.42%E -1.35%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-22 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.23%E -3.85%K -42.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.42%E -1.35%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-22 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.23%E -3.85%K -42.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.42%E -1.35%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-22 16:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.10%E -4.68%K -56.72%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.42%E -1.35%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-23 08:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.10%E -4.68%K -56.72%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.42%E -1.35%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-23 06:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.10%E -4.68%K -56.72%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.42%E -1.35%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-23 06:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.98%E -5.53%K -74.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.42%E -1.35%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-23 08:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.98%E -5.53%K -74.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.42%E -1.35%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-23 07:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.98%E -5.53%K -74.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.42%E -1.35%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-23 08:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.98%E -5.53%K -74.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.42%E -1.35%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-23 06:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.23%E -3.85%K -42.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -12.65%E -1.87%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-22 10:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.23%E -3.85%K -42.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -12.65%E -1.87%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-22 10:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.23%E -3.85%K -42.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -12.65%E -1.87%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-22 10:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.23%E -3.85%K -42.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -12.65%E -1.87%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-22 10:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.23%E -3.85%K -42.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -12.65%E -1.87%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-22 10:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.23%E -3.85%K -42.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -12.65%E -1.87%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-22 10:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.23%E -3.85%K -42.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -12.65%E -1.87%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-22 10:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.23%E -3.85%K -42.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -12.65%E -1.87%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-22 10:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.23%E -3.85%K -42.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -12.65%E -1.87%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-22 10:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.23%E -3.85%K -42.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -12.65%E -1.87%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-22 10:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.23%E -3.85%K -42.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -12.65%E -1.87%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-22 10:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.23%E -3.85%K -42.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -12.65%E -1.87%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-22 10:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.23%E -3.85%K -42.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -12.65%E -1.87%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-22 10:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.23%E -3.85%K -42.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -12.65%E -1.87%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-23 08:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.23%E -3.85%K -42.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -12.65%E -1.87%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-22 10:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.23%E -3.85%K -42.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -12.65%E -1.87%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-22 10:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.23%E -3.85%K -42.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -15.89%E -2.44%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-23 05:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.23%E -3.85%K -42.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -15.89%E -2.44%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-22 11:47 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.98%E -5.53%K -74.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -15.89%E -2.44%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-23 08:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.98%E -5.53%K -74.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -15.89%E -2.44%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-23 08:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.98%E -5.53%K -74.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -15.89%E -2.44%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-22 22:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -4.23%E -3.85%K -42.34%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -17.18%E -2.68%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-23 08:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -4.23%E -3.85%K -42.34%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -17.18%E -2.68%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-23 08:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.50%EV -7.72%E -7.28%K -128.61%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.50%EV -19.12%E -3.06%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-22 10:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 84.99%EV -7.72%E -7.28%K -128.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -22.36%E -3.73%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-23 10:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-09-23 10:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-09-23 10:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-09-23 10:26 |
| Novig◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.21% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.79% | 1.9% | 2026-09-23 09:05 |