Language:English
Maria Sakkari v Talia Gibson
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Maria Sakkari (Local)
Prediction 66.45%1.50fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -3.46%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.73%66.57%66.44%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.421.431.4873.53%70.29%69.93%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Talia Gibson (Visit)
Prediction 33.55%2.98fair odd
EV +0.662%
Edge +0.221%
Kelly +0.331%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.51%33.43%33.56%36.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.802.843.0038.46%35.68%35.21%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maria Sakkari (Local): 66.45%; Talia Gibson (Visit): 33.55%. For Talia Gibson (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.98. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.662%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.30%E -6.02%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +0.662%E +0.221%K +0.331%G +0.002% | 5.8% | 2026-09-25 12:31 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.44%EV -2.32%E -1.58%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.56%EV -2.36%E -0.810%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-25 11:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.98%E -4.98%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.69%E -0.929%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-25 12:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -8.30%E -6.02%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -2.69%E -0.929%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-25 05:43 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.32%E -3.00%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -3.36%E -1.17%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-25 12:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.98%E -3.48%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -3.36%E -1.17%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-25 03:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.98%E -4.98%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.36%E -1.17%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-25 12:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.74%EV -4.98%E -3.48%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.26%EV -3.70%E -1.29%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-24 20:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.32%E -3.00%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.37%E -1.53%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-25 06:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.98%E -3.48%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.37%E -1.53%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-25 12:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.98%E -3.48%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.37%E -1.53%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-25 12:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.98%E -3.48%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.37%E -1.53%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-24 20:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.98%E -3.48%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.37%E -1.53%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-24 20:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.98%E -3.48%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.37%E -1.53%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-24 20:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.98%E -3.48%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.37%E -1.53%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-24 20:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.98%E -3.48%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.37%E -1.53%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-24 20:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.98%E -3.48%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.37%E -1.53%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-24 20:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.98%E -3.48%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.37%E -1.53%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-24 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.98%E -3.48%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.37%E -1.53%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-24 20:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.98%E -3.48%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.37%E -1.53%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-24 20:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.98%E -3.48%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.37%E -1.53%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-24 20:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.98%E -3.48%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.37%E -1.53%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-24 20:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.98%E -3.48%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.37%E -1.53%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-24 20:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.98%E -3.48%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.37%E -1.53%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-24 20:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.98%E -3.48%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.37%E -1.53%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-24 20:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.98%E -3.48%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.37%E -1.53%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-24 21:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.97%E -6.55%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -4.37%E -1.53%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.65%E -2.52%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -4.71%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-25 01:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.65%E -2.52%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -4.71%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-25 01:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.98%E -3.48%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -4.71%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-25 10:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.14%EV -7.64%E -5.50%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -4.71%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-25 03:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -4.32%E -3.00%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -5.38%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-24 19:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.65%E -2.52%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.05%E -2.16%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-25 12:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.98%E -3.48%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.05%E -2.16%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-24 17:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.98%E -3.48%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.05%E -2.16%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-24 17:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.65%E -3.98%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.05%E -2.16%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-24 19:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.65%E -3.98%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.05%E -2.16%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-24 17:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.65%E -3.98%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.05%E -2.16%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-24 23:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.65%E -3.98%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.05%E -2.16%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-24 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -8.30%E -6.02%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -6.05%E -2.16%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-25 12:18 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.32%E -3.00%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.73%E -2.81%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-24 19:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.32%E -3.00%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.73%E -2.81%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-24 19:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.32%E -3.00%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.73%E -2.81%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-24 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.32%E -3.00%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.73%E -2.81%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-24 19:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.32%E -3.00%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.73%E -2.81%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-24 19:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.98%E -3.48%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.73%E -2.81%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-24 20:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.98%E -4.98%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.73%E -2.81%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-24 17:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.98%E -4.98%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.73%E -2.81%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-24 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.98%E -4.98%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.73%E -2.81%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-24 17:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.98%E -4.98%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.73%E -2.81%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-24 17:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.02%EV -6.98%E -4.98%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -8.73%E -3.21%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-24 19:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.65%E -2.52%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.40%E -3.48%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-25 11:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.65%E -3.98%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -9.40%E -3.48%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-25 01:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -8.30%E -6.02%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -9.40%E -3.48%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-25 11:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.50%EV -9.40%E -3.48%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-24 20:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -1.66%E -1.12%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -12.76%E -4.91%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-25 12:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -1.66%E -1.12%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -12.76%E -4.91%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-25 12:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -8.30%E -6.02%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -12.76%E -4.91%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-25 12:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -8.30%E -6.02%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -12.76%E -4.91%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-24 17:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-09-25 12:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-09-25 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-09-25 12:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.65% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.35% | 3.4% | 2026-09-25 12:30 |