Language:English
Maria Sakkari v Nao Hibino
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Maria Sakkari (Local)
Prediction 82.58%1.21fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -9.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.40%82.56%82.76%84.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.151.151.1990.91%87.17%86.96%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nao Hibino (Visit)
Prediction 17.42%5.74fair odd
EV +6.29%
Edge +1.03%
Kelly +1.23%
Growth +0.078%
assuming max odds 6.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.63%17.44%17.24%19.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.345.306.1021.05%18.71%18.87%16.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maria Sakkari (Local): 82.58%; Nao Hibino (Visit): 17.42%. For Nao Hibino (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.74. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.29%.
Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -6.69%E -5.92%K -51.46%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV +6.29%E +1.03%K +1.23%G +0.078% | 4.9% | 2026-09-24 03:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +4.55%E +0.758%K +0.910%G +0.041% | 4.4% | 2026-09-24 14:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.73%EV -4.21%E -3.63%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 5.97I 16.75%NM 16.27%EV +4.03%E +0.674%K +0.810%G +0.033% | 3.0% | 2026-09-24 12:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -5.04%E -4.38%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV +0.367%E +0.064%K +0.077%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-24 04:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -5.04%E -4.38%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV +0.367%E +0.064%K +0.077%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-24 04:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%EV -4.21%E -3.63%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV -0.678%E -0.119%K -0.144%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-24 11:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.21%E -3.63%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -4.16%E -0.757%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-24 11:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.04%E -4.38%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.16%E -0.757%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 12:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.04%E -4.38%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.16%E -0.757%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.16%E -0.757%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-24 13:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.16%E -0.757%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-24 13:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.16%E -0.757%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-24 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.16%E -0.757%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-24 13:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.16%E -0.757%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-24 13:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.16%E -0.757%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-24 13:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.16%E -0.757%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-24 00:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.16%E -0.757%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-24 13:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.69%E -5.92%K -51.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.16%E -0.757%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-24 12:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.69%E -5.92%K -51.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.16%E -0.757%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-24 00:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.52%E -6.71%K -62.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.16%E -0.757%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-24 00:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -8.34%E -7.52%K -75.83%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -4.16%E -0.757%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-24 11:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.04%E -4.38%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -5.91%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-24 11:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.69%E -5.92%K -51.46%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -5.91%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-24 00:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.21%E -3.63%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -7.65%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 07:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.21%E -3.63%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -7.65%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 07:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.21%E -3.63%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -7.65%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 07:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.21%E -3.63%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -7.65%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 08:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.21%E -3.63%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -7.65%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 07:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.21%E -3.63%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -7.65%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 07:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.21%E -3.63%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -7.65%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 08:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.21%E -3.63%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -7.65%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 07:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.21%E -3.63%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -7.65%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 07:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.21%E -3.63%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -7.65%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 07:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.21%E -3.63%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -7.65%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 07:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.21%E -3.63%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -7.65%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 07:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.21%E -3.63%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -7.65%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 07:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.21%E -3.63%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -7.65%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 07:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.81%EV -9.17%E -8.33%K -91.67%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.19%EV -7.65%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-24 13:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.86%EV -3.39%E -2.89%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 5.28I 18.94%NM 18.14%EV -8.00%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-24 13:46 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.04%E -4.38%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.52%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-24 11:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.04%E -4.38%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.52%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-24 07:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -6.69%E -5.92%K -51.46%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -8.52%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-24 13:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -6.69%E -5.92%K -51.46%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -8.52%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-24 13:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.04%E -4.38%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -9.39%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-24 11:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.04%E -4.38%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -9.39%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-24 11:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.04%E -4.38%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -9.39%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-24 11:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.86%EV -5.04%E -4.38%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.14%EV -9.56%E -1.84%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-24 12:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.21%E -3.63%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -12.88%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-24 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.21%E -3.63%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -12.88%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-24 13:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.04%E -4.38%K -33.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -12.88%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-24 00:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.88%E -2.58%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-24 14:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.53%EV -8.34%E -7.52%K -75.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.47%EV -14.62%E -2.98%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-24 07:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.43%EV -1.74%E -1.46%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.89I 20.45%NM 19.57%EV -14.79%E -3.02%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-24 13:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.39%E -2.89%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -16.36%E -3.41%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-24 01:36 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -5.86%E -5.14%K -41.89%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -16.36%E -3.41%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-24 11:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.06%EV -8.34%E -7.52%K -75.83%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.94%EV -17.23%E -3.63%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-24 13:58 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 0.5% | 2026-09-24 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 0.5% | 2026-09-24 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-09-24 14:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.71% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 14.29% | 1.4% | 2026-09-24 14:00 |