Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maria Sakkari v Linda Fruhvirtova

Kickoff: 2026-09-22 13:51 UTC

Final: Maria Sakkari 2–0 Linda Fruhvirtova

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maria Sakkari (Local)

Prediction 77.10%1.30fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -10.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.10%77.18%77.11%79.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.231.241.2685.47%81.30%80.65%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Linda Fruhvirtova (Visit)

Prediction 22.90%4.37fair odd
EV +6.73%
Edge +1.44%
Kelly +1.84%
Growth +0.124%

assuming max odds 4.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.28%22.82%22.89%24.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.654.084.004.6627.40%24.54%25.00%21.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maria Sakkari (Local): 77.10%; Linda Fruhvirtova (Visit): 22.90%. For Linda Fruhvirtova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.37. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.66, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.73%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.39%EV -6.71%E -5.55%K -31.96%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.61%EV +6.73%E +1.44%K +1.84%G +0.124%4.1%2026-09-22 13:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.39%EV -6.71%E -5.55%K -31.96%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.61%EV +6.73%E +1.44%K +1.84%G +0.124%4.1%2026-09-22 13:45
FanDuel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.48%E -6.24%K -37.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +5.35%E +1.16%K +1.49%G +0.080%5.1%2026-09-22 12:29
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -9.80%E -8.37%K -57.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +5.35%E +1.16%K +1.49%G +0.080%7.2%2026-09-22 12:30
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.80%E -8.37%K -57.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +3.06%E +0.681%K +0.875%G +0.027%7.7%2026-09-22 12:24
BetAnything🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -6.71%E -5.55%K -31.96%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +1.92%E +0.431%K +0.556%G +0.011%5.1%2026-09-22 13:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +0.773%E +0.176%K +0.227%G +0.002%3.4%2026-09-22 12:30
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -5.17%E -4.20%K -22.48%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -0.601%E -0.138%K -0.180%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-22 13:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.17%E -4.20%K -22.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -1.52%E -0.353%K -0.460%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-22 12:30
ReBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.17%E -4.20%K -22.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -1.52%E -0.353%K -0.460%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-22 12:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.48%E -6.24%K -37.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -1.52%E -0.353%K -0.460%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-22 13:38
Bet Right🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.17%E -4.20%K -22.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -2.66%E -0.626%K -0.819%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-22 13:39
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.66%E -0.626%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-21 22:09
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.81%E -0.907%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-22 13:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -4.95%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-22 13:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -4.95%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-22 12:29
NordicBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -7.48%E -6.24%K -37.42%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -4.95%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-22 13:49
GTbets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.62%EV -2.86%E -2.27%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.38%EV -5.41%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-21 21:29
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.82%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.33%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.18%EV -5.87%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 13:49
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.10%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 13:49
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.10%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-21 23:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.71%E -5.55%K -31.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.10%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-22 12:30
Coolbet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.14%EV -7.48%E -6.24%K -37.42%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -7.24%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-22 13:44
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.63%E -2.90%K -14.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 01:09
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.63%E -2.90%K -14.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 01:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.63%E -2.90%K -14.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 01:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.63%E -2.90%K -14.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 01:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.63%E -2.90%K -14.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-21 07:04
PlayUp🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-22 11:44
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-22 10:00
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-21 23:09
Caesars🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-22 06:38
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.48%E -6.24%K -37.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-21 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.48%E -6.24%K -37.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-21 23:15
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -9.53%E -2.41%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-22 13:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.85%EV -8.25%E -6.94%K -43.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -9.53%E -2.41%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-22 13:14
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.63%E -2.90%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.68%E -2.74%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-21 07:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.63%E -2.90%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.68%E -2.74%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-21 07:05
Casumo🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.63%E -2.90%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.68%E -2.74%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-21 07:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.63%E -2.90%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.68%E -2.74%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-21 07:04
TABtouch🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.63%E -2.90%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.68%E -2.74%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-21 07:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.63%E -2.90%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.68%E -2.74%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-21 07:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.63%E -2.90%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.68%E -2.74%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-21 07:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.63%E -2.90%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.68%E -2.74%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-21 07:04
Grosvenor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.63%E -2.90%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.68%E -2.74%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-21 07:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.63%E -2.90%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.68%E -2.74%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-21 07:04
Bally Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.63%E -2.90%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.68%E -2.74%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-21 07:04
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.63%E -2.90%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.68%E -2.74%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-21 07:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.63%E -2.90%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.68%E -2.74%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-21 07:04
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.63%E -2.90%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.68%E -2.74%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-21 07:04
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.63%E -2.90%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.97%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-21 23:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.63%E -2.90%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.97%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-21 23:19
TAB🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -12.97%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-22 07:29
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -14.11%E -3.76%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-21 23:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.10%EV -6.71%E -5.55%K -31.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -16.40%E -4.49%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-22 00:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-09-22 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-09-22 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-09-22 13:50
Novig◎1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53%2.3%2026-09-22 13:45