Language:English
Kristina Mladenovic v Nao Hibino
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kristina Mladenovic (Local)
Prediction 21.15%4.73fair odd
EV +3.22%
Edge +0.661%
Kelly +0.831%
Growth +0.027%
assuming max odds 4.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.73%21.26%21.12%23.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.514.504.8825.00%22.17%22.22%20.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nao Hibino (Visit)
Prediction 78.85%1.27fair odd
EV -3.81%
Edge -3.12%
Kelly -17.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.63%78.74%78.88%80.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.191.191.2288.50%83.94%84.03%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kristina Mladenovic (Local): 21.15%; Nao Hibino (Visit): 78.85%. For Kristina Mladenovic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.73. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.22%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.88I 20.49%NM 19.87%EV +3.22%E +0.661%K +0.831%G +0.027% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.13%EV -4.59%E -3.80%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-21 03:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +1.53%E +0.319%K +0.403%G +0.006% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.96%E -5.90%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-21 03:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +1.53%E +0.319%K +0.403%G +0.006% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.96%E -5.90%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-21 03:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +1.53%E +0.319%K +0.403%G +0.006% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.96%E -5.90%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-21 03:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +1.53%E +0.319%K +0.403%G +0.006% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.96%E -5.90%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-21 03:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +1.53%E +0.319%K +0.403%G +0.006% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.96%E -5.90%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-21 03:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +1.53%E +0.319%K +0.403%G +0.006% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.96%E -5.90%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-21 03:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +1.53%E +0.319%K +0.403%G +0.006% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.96%E -5.90%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-21 03:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +1.53%E +0.319%K +0.403%G +0.006% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.96%E -5.90%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-21 03:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +1.53%E +0.319%K +0.403%G +0.006% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.96%E -5.90%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-21 03:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +1.53%E +0.319%K +0.403%G +0.006% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.96%E -5.90%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-21 03:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +1.53%E +0.319%K +0.403%G +0.006% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.96%E -5.90%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-21 03:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +1.53%E +0.319%K +0.403%G +0.006% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.96%E -5.90%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-21 03:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +1.53%E +0.319%K +0.403%G +0.006% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.96%E -5.90%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-21 03:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +1.53%E +0.319%K +0.403%G +0.006% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.96%E -5.90%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-21 03:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +1.53%E +0.319%K +0.403%G +0.006% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.96%E -5.90%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-21 03:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +0.474%E +0.100%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.96%E -5.90%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-21 03:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +0.474%E +0.100%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.96%E -5.90%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-21 03:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.584%E -0.124%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.17%E -5.19%K -32.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 20:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.48%EV -1.43%E -0.307%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.52%EV -5.38%E -4.49%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-21 02:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.70%E -0.587%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.38%E -4.49%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-21 03:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.70%E -0.587%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.38%E -4.49%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-21 03:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.70%E -0.587%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.38%E -4.49%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-21 03:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -2.70%E -0.587%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.75%E -6.62%K -45.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-21 03:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -3.76%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -6.17%E -5.19%K -32.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-21 03:18 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.81%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-21 02:58 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.81%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-21 02:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.81%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-21 02:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.81%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.59%E -3.80%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-21 03:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.81%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.59%E -3.80%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-21 03:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.81%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.38%E -4.49%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-21 02:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.81%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.38%E -4.49%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-21 02:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.81%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.38%E -4.49%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-21 02:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.81%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.38%E -4.49%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-21 02:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.81%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.17%E -5.19%K -32.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-21 03:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.81%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.17%E -5.19%K -32.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-21 03:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.81%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.96%E -5.90%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-21 03:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.81%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.75%E -6.62%K -45.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-20 16:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.81%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.75%E -6.62%K -45.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-20 16:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -5.87%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.59%E -3.80%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 22:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -5.87%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.38%E -4.49%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-21 03:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.93%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.38%E -4.49%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-21 02:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.93%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.96%E -5.90%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-21 03:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.93%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.96%E -5.90%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-21 03:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.79%EV -7.35%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.21%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-21 03:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.99%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -7.75%E -6.62%K -45.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-20 20:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -8.41%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.73%EV -7.75%E -6.62%K -45.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-21 03:18 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.04%E -2.10%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-21 04:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.04%E -2.10%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.38%E -4.49%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-21 03:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.04%E -2.10%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.38%E -4.49%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-21 03:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -9.04%E -2.10%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -6.96%E -5.90%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-21 02:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -9.04%E -2.10%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.19%EV -10.90%E -9.65%K -83.86%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-21 03:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -10.10%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.38%E -4.49%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 17:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.16%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.38%E -4.49%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-21 02:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -13.28%E -3.24%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-21 02:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -13.28%E -3.24%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-21 02:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -13.28%E -3.24%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -6.17%E -5.19%K -32.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-21 04:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -13.28%E -3.24%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.95%EV -8.54%E -7.36%K -53.35%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-20 20:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.39%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-21 03:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.39%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.38%E -4.49%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-21 02:58 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.39%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.38%E -4.49%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-21 02:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-09-21 04:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 1.3% | 2026-09-21 03:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 1.3% | 2026-09-21 04:14 |
| Novig◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.99% | 4.6% | 2026-09-20 20:39 |