Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.45
assuming max odds 2.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elise Mertens (Local): 65.63%; Barbora Krejcikova (Visit): 34.37%. For Elise Mertens (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.52. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.45, with an expected value of -4.83%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-23 07:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-23 07:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-23 07:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.83%E -3.33%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-23 07:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-23 07:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-23 07:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-23 07:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-23 07:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-23 07:06 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-23 07:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-23 07:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-23 07:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-23 07:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-23 07:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.49%E -3.81%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-23 07:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -8.11%E -5.80%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-23 07:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.