Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Donna Vekic v Xinyu Wang

Kickoff: 2026-09-22 07:01 UTC

Final: Donna Vekic 0–2 Xinyu Wang

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Donna Vekic (Local)

Prediction 47.13%2.12fair odd
EV -1.97%
Edge -0.945%
Kelly -1.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.24%47.15%47.30%48.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.992.002.0852.36%50.24%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Xinyu Wang (Visit)

Prediction 52.87%1.89fair odd
EV -3.25%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -3.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.98%52.85%52.70%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.791.801.8358.82%55.86%55.56%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Donna Vekic (Local): 47.13%; Xinyu Wang (Visit): 52.87%. For Donna Vekic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.12. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.08, with an expected value of -1.97%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%EV -1.97%E -0.945%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%EV -3.25%E -1.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-22 06:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -3.38%E -1.65%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -3.78%E -2.08%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-22 06:49
ReBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.85%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.37%E -3.00%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-22 06:49
Bet Right🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.85%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.89%E -3.31%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-22 06:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.85%E -1.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.89%E -3.31%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-22 06:49
DraftKings🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -4.32%E -2.13%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -6.95%E -3.95%K -9.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-22 06:58
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.79%E -2.37%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.78%E -2.08%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-22 06:58
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.79%E -2.37%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.78%E -2.08%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-22 05:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.79%E -2.37%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.78%E -2.08%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-22 06:00
GTbets🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.79%E -2.37%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.31%E -2.38%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-22 06:39
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -4.79%E -2.37%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -6.42%E -3.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-22 06:49
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -4.79%E -2.37%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -6.42%E -3.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-22 06:49
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -4.79%E -2.37%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.48%E -4.27%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-22 06:49
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.25%E -1.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-22 06:57
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.25%E -1.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-20 15:44
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.25%E -1.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-21 13:49
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.78%E -2.08%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-21 20:14
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-21 08:30
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-22 05:59
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-22 05:59
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-21 18:28
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-21 22:14
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-22 00:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.89%E -3.31%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-22 06:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.89%E -3.31%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-22 06:19
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.89%E -3.31%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-22 05:59
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.42%E -3.63%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-22 06:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.95%E -3.95%K -9.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-22 06:49
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.54%E -4.94%K -11.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-21 20:14
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.54%E -4.94%K -11.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-21 20:14
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -9.07%E -5.27%K -12.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-22 06:09
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.68%E -3.37%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.78%E -2.08%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 15:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.68%E -3.37%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.78%E -2.08%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 15:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.68%E -3.37%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.78%E -2.08%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 15:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.68%E -3.37%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.89%E -3.31%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-22 06:09
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.68%E -3.37%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.89%E -3.31%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-22 06:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV -6.68%E -3.37%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -8.54%E -4.94%K -11.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-22 06:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.15%E -3.63%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.78%E -2.08%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 15:30
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.15%E -3.63%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.78%E -2.08%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 15:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.15%E -3.63%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.78%E -2.08%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 15:30
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.15%E -3.63%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.78%E -2.08%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.15%E -3.63%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.78%E -2.08%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 15:30
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.15%E -3.63%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.78%E -2.08%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 15:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.15%E -3.63%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.78%E -2.08%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 15:34
Bally Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.15%E -3.63%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.78%E -2.08%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 15:34
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.15%E -3.63%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.78%E -2.08%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 15:33
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.15%E -3.63%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.78%E -2.08%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 15:34
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.15%E -3.63%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.78%E -2.08%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 15:39
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-21 17:31
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-21 17:50
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.48%E -4.27%K -9.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-21 20:14
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.48%E -4.27%K -9.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-21 20:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.48%E -4.27%K -9.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-22 06:10
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.48%E -4.27%K -9.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-22 06:10
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.48%E -4.27%K -9.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-22 06:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -9.51%E -4.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -10.12%E -5.96%K -14.46%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-22 06:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -9.98%E -5.22%K -10.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -8.01%E -4.60%K -10.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-22 00:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%0.3%2026-09-22 06:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%0.3%2026-09-22 06:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%0.3%2026-09-22 06:59
Novig◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-09-22 06:50