Language:English
Daria Kasatkina v Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Daria Kasatkina (Local)
Prediction 58.79%1.70fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.739%
Kelly -1.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.36%58.80%58.82%60.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.611.621.6866.23%62.20%61.73%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Visit)
Prediction 41.21%2.43fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.452%
Kelly -0.775%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.63%41.20%41.18%43.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.282.302.4046.51%43.82%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Daria Kasatkina (Local): 58.79%; Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Visit): 41.21%. For Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.40, with an expected value of -1.08%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -1.24%E -0.739%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -10.56%E -4.87%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-20 15:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-21 00:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-21 00:27 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-21 02:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -1.91%E -0.802%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-20 17:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -1.91%E -0.802%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-20 17:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 15:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -5.62%E -2.45%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-20 22:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -5.62%E -2.45%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-21 02:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.18%E -2.56%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-21 00:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.08%E -0.452%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-20 19:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.38%E -1.89%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-21 00:03 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 14:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 14:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 14:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 14:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 14:57 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 14:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 14:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 15:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 15:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 15:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 15:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 15:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 15:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 15:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 15:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -6.44%E -2.84%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 15:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -6.44%E -2.84%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 15:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 15:11 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 15:11 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -3.56%E -1.52%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-21 00:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.38%E -1.89%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 16:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-20 14:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-20 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-20 14:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-20 15:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-20 14:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-21 00:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 15:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 14:56 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -6.53%E -4.11%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -6.44%E -2.84%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-21 02:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-20 16:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-20 16:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-20 16:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-20 16:23 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-20 15:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-20 16:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-20 15:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -8.29%E -5.32%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -11.39%E -5.30%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-20 15:18 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.11%EV -8.88%E -5.73%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.39%E -5.30%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-21 02:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -11.23%E -7.44%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -5.21%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-21 02:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.30%EV -11.23%E -7.44%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-20 15:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-09-21 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-09-21 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-09-21 02:55 |