Language:English
Alycia Parks v Mei Yamaguchi
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alycia Parks (Local)
Prediction 78.19%1.28fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -2.45%
Kelly -12.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.88%78.15%77.96%79.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.211.201.2486.21%82.90%83.33%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Mei Yamaguchi (Visit)
Prediction 21.81%4.59fair odd
EV +0.312%
Edge +0.068%
Kelly +0.087%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.28%21.85%22.04%24.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.374.454.6025.64%22.86%22.47%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alycia Parks (Local): 78.19%; Mei Yamaguchi (Visit): 21.81%. For Mei Yamaguchi (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.59. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.312%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +0.312%E +0.068%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-21 20:58 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.312%E +0.068%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-21 21:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.312%E +0.068%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-21 21:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.312%E +0.068%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-21 21:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.312%E +0.068%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-21 21:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.312%E +0.068%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-21 21:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.312%E +0.068%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-21 21:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.312%E +0.068%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-21 21:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.312%E +0.068%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-21 21:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.312%E +0.068%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-21 21:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.312%E +0.068%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-21 21:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.312%E +0.068%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-21 21:28 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.312%E +0.068%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-21 21:28 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.312%E +0.068%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-21 21:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.312%E +0.068%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-21 21:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.312%E +0.068%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-22 04:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.51%E -7.28%K -50.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +0.312%E +0.068%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-22 00:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.39%E -4.45%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.87%E -0.415%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-21 23:33 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.39%E -4.45%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.87%E -0.415%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-22 03:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.39%E -4.45%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.87%E -0.415%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-22 04:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.87%E -0.415%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-21 21:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.73%E -6.55%K -42.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -1.87%E -0.415%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-22 04:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.51%E -7.28%K -50.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -1.87%E -0.415%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-21 20:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.51%E -7.28%K -50.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -1.87%E -0.415%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-21 20:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.05%E -0.920%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-21 14:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.05%E -0.920%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-21 14:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.51%E -7.28%K -50.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -4.05%E -0.920%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-22 04:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -5.58%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-22 04:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.23%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-22 04:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.23%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-22 04:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.68%EV -3.82%E -3.11%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.32%EV -6.67%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-22 04:43 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.04%E -2.45%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -7.32%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-22 04:48 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.32%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-22 04:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.32%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-21 19:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.56%EV -9.30%E -8.01%K -58.10%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -7.32%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.41%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-21 20:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.41%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-21 20:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.41%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-21 14:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.41%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-22 01:18 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -9.50%E -2.29%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-22 04:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.95%EV -3.04%E -2.45%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.05%EV -9.72%E -2.35%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-22 04:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.04%E -2.45%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.77%E -3.19%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-21 19:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.04%E -2.45%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.77%E -3.19%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-22 04:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.77%E -3.19%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-22 04:53 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.77%E -3.19%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-21 20:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.77%E -3.19%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-21 20:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -3.04%E -2.45%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -14.95%E -3.83%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-21 20:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -3.04%E -2.45%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -14.95%E -3.83%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-21 20:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-09-22 04:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-09-22 04:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-09-22 04:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.87% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.13% | 4.3% | 2026-09-22 04:49 |