Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alycia Parks v Janice Tjen

Kickoff: 2026-09-22 03:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alycia Parks (Local)

Prediction 36.08%2.77fair odd
EV -0.767%
Edge -0.279%
Kelly -0.438%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.52%36.01%36.05%37.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.582.552.7540.82%38.75%39.22%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Janice Tjen (Visit)

Prediction 63.92%1.56fair odd
EV -2.21%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -4.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.19%63.99%63.95%65.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.501.501.5370.92%66.86%66.45%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alycia Parks (Local): 36.08%; Janice Tjen (Visit): 63.92%. For Alycia Parks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.77. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.75, with an expected value of -0.767%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.767%E -0.279%K -0.438%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.32%E -5.05%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 15:34
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.57%E -0.952%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.41%E -3.65%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-20 15:29
1xBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.38%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-20 16:49
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.38%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.41%E -3.65%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 16:44
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.38%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.41%E -3.65%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 16:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.38%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.04%E -4.11%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 16:54
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.46%E -2.08%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-20 15:30
GTbets🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.46%E -2.08%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-20 15:34
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.18%E -2.38%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 15:30
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.18%E -2.38%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 16:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.18%E -2.38%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 15:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.18%E -2.38%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 15:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.18%E -2.38%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.41%E -3.65%K -11.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 15:34
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.18%E -2.38%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.96%E -5.53%K -18.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 16:53
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.18%E -2.38%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.96%E -5.53%K -18.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 16:52
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.21%E -1.44%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-20 15:44
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.85%E -1.87%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 15:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.85%E -1.87%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 15:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.85%E -1.87%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 15:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.49%E -2.31%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 15:30
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.49%E -2.31%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 15:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.49%E -2.31%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 15:30
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.49%E -2.31%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.49%E -2.31%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 15:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.49%E -2.31%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 15:34
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.49%E -2.31%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 15:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.49%E -2.31%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 15:34
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.49%E -2.31%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 15:34
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.49%E -2.31%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 15:33
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.49%E -2.31%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 15:34
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.49%E -2.31%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 15:39
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.79%E -3.92%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.85%E -1.87%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 16:54
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.79%E -3.92%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 15:33
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.53%EV -11.59%E -4.73%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.47%EV -9.88%E -7.01%K -24.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 15:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 37.24%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.76%9.1%2026-09-20 16:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 37.24%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.76%9.1%2026-09-20 16:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 37.24%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.76%9.1%2026-09-20 16:14