Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sorana Cirstea v Maddison Inglis

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-09 10:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sorana Cirstea (Local)

Prévision 78.03%1.28cote équitable
EV -1.68%
Avantage -1.33%
Kelly -6.45%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.82%78.26%77.90%81.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.141.201.201.2687.72%83.12%83.33%79.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Maddison Inglis (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.97%4.55cote équitable
EV +14.22%
Avantage +2.73%
Kelly +3.39%
Croissance +0.481%

avec la cote maximale 5.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.37%21.74%22.10%24.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.954.394.345.2025.32%22.78%23.04%19.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sorana Cirstea (Local) : 78.03% ; Maddison Inglis (Visiteur) : 21.97%. Pour Maddison Inglis (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.55. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.20, soit une espérance positive de +14.22%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -8.70%E -7.44%K -51.17%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +14.22%E +2.73%K +3.39%G +0.481%4.7%2026-06-09 09:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -8.70%E -7.44%K -51.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +9.83%E +1.97%K +2.46%G +0.241%5.5%2026-06-09 09:20
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -11.04%E -9.68%K -78.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +9.83%E +1.97%K +2.46%G +0.241%7.7%2026-06-09 09:19
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -11.04%E -9.68%K -78.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +9.83%E +1.97%K +2.46%G +0.241%7.7%2026-06-09 09:20
SportsBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -10.26%E -8.92%K -68.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV +5.43%E +1.13%K +1.43%G +0.078%7.8%2026-06-09 09:19
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.87%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.47%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 21.13%EV +0.821%E +0.179%K +0.229%G +0.002%3.1%2026-06-09 09:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -1.16%E -0.257%K -0.330%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-09 09:40
Unibet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.16%E -0.257%K -0.330%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 09:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.16%E -0.257%K -0.330%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 09:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.16%E -0.257%K -0.330%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 09:20
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.16%E -0.257%K -0.330%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 09:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.16%E -0.257%K -0.330%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 09:19
TABtouch🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.16%E -0.257%K -0.330%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 09:19
Casumo🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.16%E -0.257%K -0.330%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 09:19
Grosvenor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.16%E -0.257%K -0.330%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 09:19
BetRivers🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.16%E -0.257%K -0.330%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 09:20
Bally Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.16%E -0.257%K -0.330%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 09:20
betPARX🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.16%E -0.257%K -0.330%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 09:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.16%E -0.257%K -0.330%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 09:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.16%E -0.257%K -0.330%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 09:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.16%E -0.257%K -0.330%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 09:18
Fanatics🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.35%E -0.762%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 08:50
BetAnything🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.35%E -0.762%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 08:49
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.35%E -0.762%K -0.986%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-09 09:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.70%E -7.44%K -51.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.35%E -0.762%K -0.986%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-09 09:19
DraftKings🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.80%E -3.93%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.45%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 08:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -7.14%E -6.00%K -37.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -4.45%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-09 09:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -7.14%E -6.00%K -37.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -4.45%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-09 09:19
betfred_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.89%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-09 08:49
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.89%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-09 09:19
Bet Right🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.93%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.55%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 09:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.93%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.55%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 09:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.93%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.55%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 09:19
Coolbet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.93%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.55%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 09:20
ReBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.93%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.55%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 09:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.55%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-09 09:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.47%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -6.21%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 09:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.47%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -6.21%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 09:19
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.93%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.65%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-09 08:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.65%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-09 09:19
theScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.65%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-09 09:19
Neds🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -7.14%E -6.00%K -37.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -6.65%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-09 09:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -7.14%E -6.00%K -37.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -6.65%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-09 09:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -7.92%E -6.71%K -44.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -6.65%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-09 09:19
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.93%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.75%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 08:50
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.93%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.75%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 08:49
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.93%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.75%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 08:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.93%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.75%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 08:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.93%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.75%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 08:50
Betsson🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.75%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-09 09:19
NordicBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.75%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-09 09:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.92%E -6.71%K -44.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -7.75%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-09 09:19
TAB🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.93%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.14%E -3.03%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-09 09:19
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.14%E -3.03%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-09 09:38
Everygame🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.14%E -3.03%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-09 09:19
1xBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -1.68%E -1.33%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -13.24%E -3.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 09:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%0.3%2026-06-09 09:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%0.3%2026-06-09 09:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%0.3%2026-06-09 09:40
Matchbook1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%0.3%2026-06-09 09:40
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 79.64%4.81I 20.79%NM 20.36%2.1%2026-06-09 09:31
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93%2.4%2026-06-09 09:40