La escuela de los momios

Sorana Cirstea v Maddison Inglis

Inicio: 2026-06-09 10:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sorana Cirstea (Local)

Predicción 78.03%1.28momio equitativo
EV -1.68%
Ventaja -1.33%
Kelly -6.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.26

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.82%78.26%77.90%81.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.141.201.201.2687.72%83.12%83.33%79.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Maddison Inglis (Visitante)

Predicción 21.97%4.55momio equitativo
EV +14.22%
Ventaja +2.73%
Kelly +3.39%
Crecimiento +0.481%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.37%21.74%22.10%24.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.954.394.345.2025.32%22.78%23.04%19.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -8.70%E -7.44%K -51.17%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +14.22%E +2.73%K +3.39%G +0.481%4.7%2026-06-09 09:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -8.70%E -7.44%K -51.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +9.83%E +1.97%K +2.46%G +0.241%5.5%2026-06-09 09:20
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -11.04%E -9.68%K -78.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +9.83%E +1.97%K +2.46%G +0.241%7.7%2026-06-09 09:19
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -11.04%E -9.68%K -78.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +9.83%E +1.97%K +2.46%G +0.241%7.7%2026-06-09 09:20
SportsBet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -10.26%E -8.92%K -68.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV +5.43%E +1.13%K +1.43%G +0.078%7.8%2026-06-09 09:19
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 78.87%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.47%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 21.13%EV +0.821%E +0.179%K +0.229%G +0.002%3.1%2026-06-09 09:40
Winamax (DE)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -1.16%E -0.257%K -0.330%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-09 09:40
Unibet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.16%E -0.257%K -0.330%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 09:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.16%E -0.257%K -0.330%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 09:19
Unibet (NL)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.16%E -0.257%K -0.330%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 09:20
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.16%E -0.257%K -0.330%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 09:20
Unibet (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.16%E -0.257%K -0.330%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 09:19
TABtouch1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.16%E -0.257%K -0.330%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 09:19
Casumo1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.16%E -0.257%K -0.330%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 09:19
Grosvenor1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.16%E -0.257%K -0.330%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 09:19
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.16%E -0.257%K -0.330%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 09:20
Bally Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.16%E -0.257%K -0.330%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 09:20
betPARX1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.16%E -0.257%K -0.330%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 09:20
Svenska Spel1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.16%E -0.257%K -0.330%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 09:19
ATG (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.16%E -0.257%K -0.330%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 09:19
Hard Rock Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.16%E -0.257%K -0.330%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 09:18
Fanatics1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.35%E -0.762%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 08:50
BetAnything1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.35%E -0.762%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 08:49
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.35%E -0.762%K -0.986%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-09 09:20
Tipico (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.70%E -7.44%K -51.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -3.35%E -0.762%K -0.986%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-09 09:19
DraftKings1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.80%E -3.93%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.45%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 08:49
LiveScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -7.14%E -6.00%K -37.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -4.45%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-09 09:19
Virgin Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -7.14%E -6.00%K -37.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -4.45%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-09 09:19
betfred_uk1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.89%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-09 08:49
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.89%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-09 09:19
Bet Right1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.93%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.55%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 09:19
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.93%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.55%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 09:19
Unibet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.93%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.55%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 09:19
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.93%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.55%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 09:20
ReBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.93%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.55%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 09:19
Winamax (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.55%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-09 09:39
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.47%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -6.21%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 09:20
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.47%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -6.21%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 09:19
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.93%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.65%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-09 08:50
PointsBet (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.65%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-09 09:19
theScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.65%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-09 09:19
Neds1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -7.14%E -6.00%K -37.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -6.65%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-09 09:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -7.14%E -6.00%K -37.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -6.65%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-09 09:19
PMU (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -7.92%E -6.71%K -44.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -6.65%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-09 09:19
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.93%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.75%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 08:50
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.93%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.75%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 08:49
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.93%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.75%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 08:50
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.93%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.75%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 08:50
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.93%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.75%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 08:50
Betsson1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.75%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-09 09:19
NordicBet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.75%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-09 09:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.92%E -6.71%K -44.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -7.75%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-09 09:19
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.93%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.14%E -3.03%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-09 09:19
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.14%E -3.03%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-09 09:38
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.14%E -3.03%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-09 09:19
1xBet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -1.68%E -1.33%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -13.24%E -3.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 09:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%0.3%2026-06-09 09:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%0.3%2026-06-09 09:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%0.3%2026-06-09 09:40
Matchbook1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%0.3%2026-06-09 09:40
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 79.64%4.81I 20.79%NM 20.36%2.1%2026-06-09 09:31
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93%2.4%2026-06-09 09:40