L’École des cotes

Qinwen Zheng v Jaqueline Cristian

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-08 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Qinwen Zheng (Local)

Prévision 71.18%1.40cote équitable
EV -1.78%
Avantage -1.29%
Kelly -4.67%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.49%71.21%71.12%73.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.271.331.331.3878.74%75.15%75.19%72.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jaqueline Cristian (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.82%3.47cote équitable
EV +0.881%
Avantage +0.252%
Kelly +0.352%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.93%28.79%28.88%31.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.263.253.5033.33%30.68%30.77%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.47%E -5.75%K -24.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.881%E +0.252%K +0.352%G +0.003%5.5%2026-06-08 13:09
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.18%E -6.34%K -28.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +0.881%E +0.252%K +0.352%G +0.003%6.1%2026-06-08 13:49
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.18%E -6.34%K -28.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +0.881%E +0.252%K +0.352%G +0.003%6.1%2026-06-08 13:49
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.18%E -6.34%K -28.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +0.881%E +0.252%K +0.352%G +0.003%6.1%2026-06-08 13:49
Pinnacle1.35I 74.07%NM 72.05%EV -3.91%E -2.90%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.95%EV +0.305%E +0.088%K +0.123%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-08 13:10
Winamax (DE)1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -0.560%E -0.162%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-08 13:09
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.05%E -4.58%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.00%E -0.589%K -0.834%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-08 13:09
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.61%E -7.56%K -35.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -2.00%E -0.589%K -0.834%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-08 13:29
1xBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -2.29%E -0.675%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-08 13:49
Unibet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.44%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 13:10
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.44%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 13:49
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -7.47%E -5.75%K -24.90%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -4.31%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-08 13:09
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-08 13:08
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-08 13:09
Winamax (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-08 13:09
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-08 13:09
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:49
Casumo1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:49
Unibet (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:49
LeoVegas1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:49
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:49
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:49
TABtouch1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:49
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:49
Bally Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:49
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:49
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:49
Svenska Spel1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-08 13:09
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-08 13:09
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-08 13:09
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-08 13:09
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-08 13:09
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-08 13:48
BetAnything1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -2.49%E -1.82%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-08 13:09
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-08 13:09
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.47%E -5.75%K -24.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-08 13:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.47%E -5.75%K -24.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-08 13:09
DraftKings1.35I 74.07%NM 70.26%EV -3.91%E -2.90%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.74%EV -8.05%E -2.52%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:49
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-08 13:49
Virgin Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-08 13:49
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.05%E -4.58%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-08 13:49
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.05%E -4.58%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-08 13:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.05%E -4.58%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-08 13:09
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.20%E -2.35%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.65%E -3.43%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-08 13:09
TAB1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.65%E -3.43%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-08 13:09
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.65%E -3.43%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-08 13:47
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.91%E -2.90%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.09%E -3.96%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-08 13:29
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.91%E -2.90%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.09%E -3.96%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-08 13:29
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -1.78%E -1.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -13.53%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-08 13:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-06-08 13:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-06-08 13:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-06-08 13:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-06-08 13:39
Novig1.35I 74.07%NM 72.34%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.66%2.4%2026-06-08 13:49
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13%2.4%2026-06-08 13:10