La escuela de los momios

Qinwen Zheng v Jaqueline Cristian

Inicio: 2026-06-08 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Qinwen Zheng (Local)

Predicción 71.18%1.40momio equitativo
EV -1.78%
Ventaja -1.29%
Kelly -4.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.49%71.21%71.12%73.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.271.331.331.3878.74%75.15%75.19%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Jaqueline Cristian (Visitante)

Predicción 28.82%3.47momio equitativo
EV +0.881%
Ventaja +0.252%
Kelly +0.352%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.93%28.79%28.88%31.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.263.253.5033.33%30.68%30.77%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.47%E -5.75%K -24.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.881%E +0.252%K +0.352%G +0.003%5.5%2026-06-08 13:09
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.18%E -6.34%K -28.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +0.881%E +0.252%K +0.352%G +0.003%6.1%2026-06-08 13:49
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.18%E -6.34%K -28.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +0.881%E +0.252%K +0.352%G +0.003%6.1%2026-06-08 13:49
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.18%E -6.34%K -28.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +0.881%E +0.252%K +0.352%G +0.003%6.1%2026-06-08 13:49
Pinnacle1.35I 74.07%NM 72.05%EV -3.91%E -2.90%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.95%EV +0.305%E +0.088%K +0.123%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-08 13:10
Winamax (DE)1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -0.560%E -0.162%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-08 13:09
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.05%E -4.58%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.00%E -0.589%K -0.834%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-08 13:09
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.61%E -7.56%K -35.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -2.00%E -0.589%K -0.834%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-08 13:29
1xBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -2.29%E -0.675%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-08 13:49
Unibet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.44%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 13:10
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.44%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 13:49
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -7.47%E -5.75%K -24.90%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -4.31%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-08 13:09
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-08 13:08
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-08 13:09
Winamax (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-08 13:09
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.88%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-08 13:09
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:49
Casumo1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:49
Unibet (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:49
LeoVegas1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:49
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:49
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:49
TABtouch1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:49
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:49
Bally Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:49
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:49
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:49
Svenska Spel1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-08 13:09
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-08 13:09
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-08 13:09
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-08 13:09
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-08 13:09
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.32%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-08 13:48
BetAnything1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -2.49%E -1.82%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-08 13:09
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-08 13:09
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.47%E -5.75%K -24.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-08 13:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.47%E -5.75%K -24.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-08 13:09
DraftKings1.35I 74.07%NM 70.26%EV -3.91%E -2.90%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.74%EV -8.05%E -2.52%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 13:49
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-08 13:49
Virgin Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-08 13:49
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.05%E -4.58%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-08 13:49
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.05%E -4.58%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-08 13:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.05%E -4.58%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-08 13:09
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.20%E -2.35%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.65%E -3.43%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-08 13:09
TAB1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.62%E -3.45%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.65%E -3.43%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-08 13:09
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.33%E -4.01%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.65%E -3.43%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-08 13:47
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.91%E -2.90%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.09%E -3.96%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-08 13:29
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.91%E -2.90%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.09%E -3.96%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-08 13:29
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -1.78%E -1.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -13.53%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-08 13:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-06-08 13:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-06-08 13:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-06-08 13:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-06-08 13:39
Novig1.35I 74.07%NM 72.34%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.66%2.4%2026-06-08 13:49
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13%2.4%2026-06-08 13:10