L’École des cotes

Harriet Dart v Kamilla Rakhimova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-12 11:38 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Harriet Dart (Local)

Prévision 53.71%1.86cote équitable
EV +0.445%
Avantage +0.238%
Kelly +0.511%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.05%53.58%53.81%55.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.761.761.8759.88%56.98%56.82%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Kamilla Rakhimova (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.29%2.16cote équitable
EV -0.485%
Avantage -0.225%
Kelly -0.421%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.30%46.42%46.19%48.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.052.072.1551.28%48.72%48.31%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +0.445%E +0.238%K +0.511%G +0.002%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -9.74%E -5.00%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 11:30
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.24%E -1.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.50%E -3.22%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-12 11:29
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -2.34%E -1.11%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-12 11:30
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.50%E -3.22%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 11:30
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 11:30
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 11:29
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 11:29
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 11:29
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 11:29
BetAnything1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.39%E -2.47%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.26%E -1.56%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-12 11:30
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.39%E -2.47%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.26%E -1.56%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-12 11:30
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.39%E -2.47%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.26%E -1.56%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-12 11:29
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-12 11:29
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 11:30
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 11:30
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -8.35%E -4.22%K -8.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-12 11:30
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -0.485%E -0.225%K -0.421%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-12 11:30
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 11:30
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 11:30
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 11:29
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 11:29
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 11:30
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 11:30
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 11:30
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 11:29
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 11:30
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 11:30
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 11:30
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 11:30
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.65%E -2.26%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 11:29
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -3.26%E -1.56%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 11:24
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.54%E -3.76%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.87%E -0.884%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 11:30
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -6.54%E -3.76%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -4.65%E -2.26%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-12 11:30
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.54%E -3.76%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-12 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 11:30
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 11:28
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -5.58%E -2.73%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-12 11:30
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -5.58%E -2.73%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-12 11:30
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 11:30
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 11:28
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 11:29
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 11:29
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 11:30
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.61%E -4.43%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-12 11:29
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.61%E -4.43%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-12 11:30
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.61%E -4.43%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-12 11:29
PMU (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -8.15%E -4.77%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -6.50%E -3.22%K -6.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-12 11:30
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.69%E -5.11%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-12 11:30
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.69%E -5.11%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-12 11:30
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.69%E -5.11%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-12 11:30
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.30%E -6.17%K -15.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-12 11:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-06-12 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-06-12 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-06-12 11:30
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-06-12 11:30
Novig1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%2.2%2026-06-12 11:30
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-06-12 11:30