La escuela de los momios

Harriet Dart v Kamilla Rakhimova

Inicio: 2026-06-12 11:38 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Harriet Dart (Local)

Predicción 53.71%1.86momio equitativo
EV +0.445%
Ventaja +0.238%
Kelly +0.511%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.05%53.58%53.81%55.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.761.761.8759.88%56.98%56.82%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Kamilla Rakhimova (Visitante)

Predicción 46.29%2.16momio equitativo
EV -0.485%
Ventaja -0.225%
Kelly -0.421%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.30%46.42%46.19%48.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.052.072.1551.28%48.72%48.31%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +0.445%E +0.238%K +0.511%G +0.002%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -9.74%E -5.00%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 11:30
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.24%E -1.23%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.50%E -3.22%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-12 11:29
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -2.34%E -1.11%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-12 11:30
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.50%E -3.22%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 11:30
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 11:30
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 11:29
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 11:29
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 11:29
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.32%E -1.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 11:29
BetAnything1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.39%E -2.47%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.26%E -1.56%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-12 11:30
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.39%E -2.47%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.26%E -1.56%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-12 11:30
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.39%E -2.47%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.26%E -1.56%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-12 11:29
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-12 11:29
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 11:30
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 11:30
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -4.93%E -2.78%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -8.35%E -4.22%K -8.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-12 11:30
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -0.485%E -0.225%K -0.421%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-12 11:30
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 11:30
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 11:30
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 11:29
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 11:29
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 11:30
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 11:30
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 11:30
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 11:29
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 11:30
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 11:30
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 11:30
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.19%E -2.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 11:30
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.65%E -2.26%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 11:29
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -3.26%E -1.56%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 11:24
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.54%E -3.76%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.87%E -0.884%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 11:30
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -6.54%E -3.76%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -4.65%E -2.26%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-12 11:30
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.54%E -3.76%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-12 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 11:30
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 11:28
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -5.58%E -2.73%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-12 11:30
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -5.58%E -2.73%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-12 11:30
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 11:30
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 11:28
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 11:29
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 11:29
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 11:30
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.61%E -4.43%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-12 11:29
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.61%E -4.43%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-12 11:30
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.61%E -4.43%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-12 11:29
PMU (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -8.15%E -4.77%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -6.50%E -3.22%K -6.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-12 11:30
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.69%E -5.11%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-12 11:30
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.69%E -5.11%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.11%E -2.49%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-12 11:30
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.69%E -5.11%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.43%E -3.71%K -7.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-12 11:30
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.30%E -6.17%K -15.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-12 11:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-06-12 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-06-12 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-06-12 11:30
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-06-12 11:30
Novig1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%2.2%2026-06-12 11:30
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-06-12 11:30