Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Harriet Dart v Belinda Bencic

Início: 2026-06-11 10:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Harriet Dart (Local)

Previsão 16.50%6.06odd justa
EV +6.46%
Vantagem +1.00%
Kelly +1.18%
Crescimento +0.076%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.02%16.56%16.43%20.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.505.585.606.4522.22%17.91%17.86%15.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Belinda Bencic (Visitante)

Previsão 83.50%1.20odd justa
EV -1.48%
Vantagem -1.25%
Kelly -8.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
79.37%83.44%83.57%84.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.101.141.141.1890.91%87.96%87.72%84.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Harriet Dart (Local): 16.50%; Belinda Bencic (Visitante): 83.50%. Para Harriet Dart (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.06. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.45, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +6.46%.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯6.45I 15.50%NM 15.02%EV +6.46%E +1.00%K +1.18%G +0.076%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.98%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-10 17:20
DraftKings🎯6.27I 15.95%NM 15.27%EV +3.49%E +0.556%K +0.661%G +0.023%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.73%EV -5.65%E -5.00%K -43.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-10 04:18
Winamax (DE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV +3.16%E +0.505%K +0.601%G +0.019%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-09 17:39
Winamax (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.971%E -0.162%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.65%E -5.00%K -43.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:49
Bovada🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.971%E -0.162%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.65%E -5.00%K -43.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:49
888sport🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.971%E -0.162%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.49%E -5.79%K -54.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 04:19
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.971%E -0.162%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.49%E -5.79%K -54.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 04:19
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.971%E -0.162%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.49%E -5.79%K -54.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 04:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.971%E -0.162%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.49%E -5.79%K -54.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 04:49
888sport (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.971%E -0.162%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.49%E -5.79%K -54.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 04:49
Everygame🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -0.971%E -0.162%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -8.16%E -7.41%K -81.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-10 04:19
Coolbet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.27%E -0.737%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 04:19
Unibet (FR)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -4.27%E -0.737%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.65%E -5.00%K -43.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-10 06:59
NordicBet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -4.27%E -0.737%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.65%E -5.00%K -43.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-10 16:48
Betsson🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -4.27%E -0.737%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.65%E -5.00%K -43.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-10 16:50
Bet Right🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.10%E -0.886%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 16:10
BetMGM🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.10%E -0.886%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.65%E -5.00%K -43.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-10 04:19
BetAnything🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.10%E -0.886%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.65%E -5.00%K -43.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-10 16:49
Unibet (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.10%E -0.886%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.49%E -5.79%K -54.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-10 16:50
Coral🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.10%E -0.886%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.49%E -5.79%K -54.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-10 04:19
Fanatics🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -5.92%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 14:40
LowVig.ag🎯5.67I 17.64%NM 16.86%EV -6.42%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.14%EV -3.98%E -3.46%K -26.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 17:19
BetOnline.ag🎯5.67I 17.64%NM 16.86%EV -6.42%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.14%EV -3.98%E -3.46%K -26.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 17:20
Unibet (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.57%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 09:09
Casumo🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.57%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 09:09
BetRivers🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.57%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 09:09
Unibet (NL)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.57%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 09:10
Grosvenor🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.57%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 09:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.57%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 09:10
LeoVegas🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.57%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 09:09
TABtouch🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.57%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 09:09
Unibet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.57%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 09:09
Svenska Spel🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.57%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 09:10
ATG (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.57%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 09:10
Bally Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.57%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 09:09
betPARX🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.57%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 09:10
Neds🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -7.57%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.49%E -5.79%K -54.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-10 04:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -7.57%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.49%E -5.79%K -54.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-10 04:19
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.22%E -1.68%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-09 19:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.22%E -1.68%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-10 17:48
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.22%E -1.68%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-09 20:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.22%E -1.68%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-10 09:09
Bet Victor🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.22%E -1.68%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.49%E -5.79%K -54.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-10 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.22%E -1.68%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.49%E -5.79%K -54.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-10 04:18
Tipico (DE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -9.22%E -1.68%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.32%E -6.59%K -66.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-09 19:09
1xBet🎯5.48I 18.25%NM 17.47%EV -9.55%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.53%EV -3.15%E -2.71%K -19.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 13:50
ReBet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -10.87%E -2.01%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -6.49%E -5.79%K -54.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-10 16:50
Virgin Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -13.35%E -2.54%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-10 09:10
LiveScore Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -13.35%E -2.54%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-10 09:09
theScore Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -14.17%E -2.73%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-09 17:39
PMU (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -14.17%E -2.73%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -5.65%E -5.00%K -43.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-10 09:10
FanDuel🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -17.48%E -3.50%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -1.48%E -1.25%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 11:34
PlayUp🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -19.95%E -4.11%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -2.31%E -1.97%K -13.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-10 13:50
SportsBet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -23.25%E -5.00%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -2.31%E -1.97%K -13.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-10 11:34
TAB🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -24.08%E -5.23%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -3.15%E -2.71%K -19.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-10 13:50
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -25.73%E -5.72%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -2.31%E -1.97%K -13.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-10 11:33
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -25.73%E -5.72%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -2.31%E -1.97%K -13.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-10 11:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%1.7%2026-06-10 04:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%1.7%2026-06-10 04:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%1.7%2026-06-10 04:19
Matchbook6.40I 15.63%NM 15.12%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.88%3.3%2026-06-10 20:40
Smarkets5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%4.2%2026-06-10 16:50
Novig6.17I 16.21%NM 15.48%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.52%4.7%2026-06-10 19:50