L’École des cotes

Harriet Dart v Belinda Bencic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-11 10:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Harriet Dart (Local)

Prévision 16.50%6.06cote équitable
EV +6.46%
Avantage +1.00%
Kelly +1.18%
Croissance +0.076%

avec la cote maximale 6.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.02%16.56%16.43%20.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.585.606.4522.22%17.91%17.86%15.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Belinda Bencic (Visiteur)

Prévision 83.50%1.20cote équitable
EV -1.48%
Avantage -1.25%
Kelly -8.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
79.37%83.44%83.57%84.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.101.141.141.1890.91%87.96%87.72%84.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle6.45I 15.50%NM 15.02%EV +6.46%E +1.00%K +1.18%G +0.076%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.98%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-10 17:20
DraftKings6.27I 15.95%NM 15.27%EV +3.49%E +0.556%K +0.661%G +0.023%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.73%EV -5.65%E -5.00%K -43.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-10 04:18
Winamax (DE)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV +3.16%E +0.505%K +0.601%G +0.019%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-09 17:39
Winamax (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.971%E -0.162%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.65%E -5.00%K -43.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:49
Bovada6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.971%E -0.162%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.65%E -5.00%K -43.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 16:49
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.971%E -0.162%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.49%E -5.79%K -54.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 04:19
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.971%E -0.162%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.49%E -5.79%K -54.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 04:19
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.971%E -0.162%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.49%E -5.79%K -54.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 04:19
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.971%E -0.162%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.49%E -5.79%K -54.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 04:49
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.971%E -0.162%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.49%E -5.79%K -54.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 04:49
Everygame6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -0.971%E -0.162%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -8.16%E -7.41%K -81.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-10 04:19
Coolbet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.27%E -0.737%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 04:19
Unibet (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -4.27%E -0.737%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.65%E -5.00%K -43.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-10 06:59
NordicBet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -4.27%E -0.737%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.65%E -5.00%K -43.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-10 16:48
Betsson5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -4.27%E -0.737%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.65%E -5.00%K -43.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-10 16:50
Bet Right5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.10%E -0.886%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 16:10
BetMGM5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.10%E -0.886%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.65%E -5.00%K -43.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-10 04:19
BetAnything5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.10%E -0.886%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.65%E -5.00%K -43.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-10 16:49
Unibet (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.10%E -0.886%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.49%E -5.79%K -54.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-10 16:50
Coral5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.10%E -0.886%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.49%E -5.79%K -54.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-10 04:19
Fanatics5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -5.92%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 14:40
LowVig.ag5.67I 17.64%NM 16.86%EV -6.42%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.14%EV -3.98%E -3.46%K -26.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 17:19
BetOnline.ag5.67I 17.64%NM 16.86%EV -6.42%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.14%EV -3.98%E -3.46%K -26.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 17:20
Unibet (SE)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.57%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 09:09
Casumo5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.57%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 09:09
BetRivers5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.57%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 09:09
Unibet (NL)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.57%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 09:10
Grosvenor5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.57%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 09:09
LeoVegas (SE)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.57%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 09:10
LeoVegas5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.57%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 09:09
TABtouch5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.57%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 09:09
Unibet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.57%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 09:09
Svenska Spel5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.57%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 09:10
ATG (SE)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.57%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 09:10
Bally Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.57%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 09:09
betPARX5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.57%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 09:10
Neds5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -7.57%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.49%E -5.79%K -54.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-10 04:19
Ladbrokes (AU)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -7.57%E -1.35%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.49%E -5.79%K -54.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-10 04:19
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.22%E -1.68%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-09 19:09
PointsBet (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.22%E -1.68%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-10 17:48
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.22%E -1.68%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-09 20:09
Hard Rock Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.22%E -1.68%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-10 09:09
Bet Victor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.22%E -1.68%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.49%E -5.79%K -54.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-10 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.22%E -1.68%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.49%E -5.79%K -54.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-10 04:18
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -9.22%E -1.68%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.32%E -6.59%K -66.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-09 19:09
1xBet5.48I 18.25%NM 17.47%EV -9.55%E -1.74%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.53%EV -3.15%E -2.71%K -19.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 13:50
ReBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -10.87%E -2.01%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -6.49%E -5.79%K -54.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-10 16:50
Virgin Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -13.35%E -2.54%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-10 09:10
LiveScore Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -13.35%E -2.54%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-10 09:09
theScore Bet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -14.17%E -2.73%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -4.82%E -4.22%K -34.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-09 17:39
PMU (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -14.17%E -2.73%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -5.65%E -5.00%K -43.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-10 09:10
FanDuel5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -17.48%E -3.50%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -1.48%E -1.25%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 11:34
PlayUp4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -19.95%E -4.11%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -2.31%E -1.97%K -13.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-10 13:50
SportsBet4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -23.25%E -5.00%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -2.31%E -1.97%K -13.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-10 11:34
TAB4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -24.08%E -5.23%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -3.15%E -2.71%K -19.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-10 13:50
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -25.73%E -5.72%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -2.31%E -1.97%K -13.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-10 11:33
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -25.73%E -5.72%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -2.31%E -1.97%K -13.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-10 11:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%1.7%2026-06-10 04:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%1.7%2026-06-10 04:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%1.7%2026-06-10 04:19
Matchbook6.40I 15.63%NM 15.12%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.88%3.3%2026-06-10 20:40
Smarkets5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%4.2%2026-06-10 16:50
Novig6.17I 16.21%NM 15.48%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.52%4.7%2026-06-10 19:50