Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Elena Rybakina v Tatjana Maria

Início: 2026-06-12 10:05 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Elena Rybakina (Local)

Previsão 80.03%1.25odd justa
EV -2.37%
Vantagem -1.94%
Kelly -10.77%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
77.36%80.02%80.10%82.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.141.191.191.2287.72%84.20%84.03%81.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tatjana Maria (Visitante)

Previsão 19.97%5.01odd justa
EV +5.86%
Vantagem +1.11%
Kelly +1.36%
Crescimento +0.080%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.83%19.98%19.90%22.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.104.664.605.3024.39%21.46%21.74%18.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Elena Rybakina (Local): 80.03%; Tatjana Maria (Visitante): 19.97%. Para Tatjana Maria (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.01. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.30, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.86%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -7.97%E -6.93%K -53.14%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV +5.86%E +1.11%K +1.36%G +0.080%5.8%2026-06-12 10:00
Pinnacle🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.46%EV -4.77%E -4.01%K -25.10%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 18.54%EV +4.47%E +0.854%K +1.06%G +0.047%3.2%2026-06-12 10:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -4.77%E -4.01%K -25.10%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV +1.87%E +0.367%K +0.456%G +0.009%3.6%2026-06-12 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.37%E -5.44%K -37.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.128%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 09:59
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.77%E -7.69%K -62.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -0.128%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-12 10:00
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.77%E -7.69%K -62.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -0.128%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-12 10:00
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.77%E -7.69%K -62.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -0.128%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-12 10:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.65%EV -4.77%E -4.01%K -25.10%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.35%EV -0.927%E -0.187%K -0.234%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-12 10:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.65%EV -4.77%E -4.01%K -25.10%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.35%EV -0.927%E -0.187%K -0.234%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-12 09:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.77%E -4.01%K -25.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.13%E -0.434%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-12 09:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.13%E -0.434%K -0.545%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 09:59
ReBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.13%E -0.434%K -0.545%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 09:59
Bet Right🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.37%E -5.44%K -37.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -2.13%E -0.434%K -0.545%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-12 10:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -8.77%E -7.69%K -62.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -2.13%E -0.434%K -0.545%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-12 09:59
Coolbet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.77%E -4.01%K -25.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.12%E -0.859%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-12 10:00
Betsson🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.12%E -0.859%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 10:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.12%E -0.859%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 10:00
BetAnything🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.12%E -0.859%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 10:00
Bovada🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.12%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-12 09:59
Fanatics🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.77%E -4.01%K -25.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.12%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 09:59
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.12%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-12 10:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.12%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-12 10:00
1xBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.73%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.27%EV -5.72%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-12 09:59
theScore Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.77%E -4.01%K -25.10%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -7.12%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 10:00
Fliff🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -7.12%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-12 10:00
Unibet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.12%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 10:00
TABtouch🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.12%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 10:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.12%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 09:59
Casumo🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.12%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 10:00
Grosvenor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.12%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 10:00
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.12%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.12%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 09:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.12%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 10:00
BetRivers🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.12%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 09:59
DraftKings🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.12%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 09:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.12%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 09:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.12%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 09:59
betPARX🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.12%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 10:00
Bally Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.12%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 10:00
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 09:59
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 09:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 09:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 10:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 09:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-12 10:00
NordicBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-12 10:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-12 10:00
betfred_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-12 09:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -6.37%E -5.44%K -37.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -12.11%E -2.75%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-12 09:59
Bet Victor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -13.51%E -3.12%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 09:58
BetMGM🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -3.17%E -2.62%K -15.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -15.11%E -3.56%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-12 10:00
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.37%E -1.94%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -16.11%E -3.84%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-12 10:00
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.11%E -3.84%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-12 09:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.11%E -3.84%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-12 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -18.11%E -4.42%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-12 10:00
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -18.11%E -4.42%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-12 10:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-06-12 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-06-12 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-06-12 10:00
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-06-12 10:00
Novig1.17I 85.47%NM 81.80%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.20%4.5%2026-06-12 10:00
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%4.9%2026-06-12 09:55