Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Elena Rybakina v Tatjana Maria

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-12 10:05 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Elena Rybakina (Local)

Prévision 80.03%1.25cote équitable
EV -2.37%
Avantage -1.94%
Kelly -10.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
77.36%80.02%80.10%82.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.141.191.191.2287.72%84.20%84.03%81.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Tatjana Maria (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.97%5.01cote équitable
EV +5.86%
Avantage +1.11%
Kelly +1.36%
Croissance +0.080%

avec la cote maximale 5.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.83%19.98%19.90%22.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.104.664.605.3024.39%21.46%21.74%18.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Elena Rybakina (Local) : 80.03% ; Tatjana Maria (Visiteur) : 19.97%. Pour Tatjana Maria (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.01. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.30, soit une espérance positive de +5.86%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -7.97%E -6.93%K -53.14%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV +5.86%E +1.11%K +1.36%G +0.080%5.8%2026-06-12 10:00
Pinnacle🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.46%EV -4.77%E -4.01%K -25.10%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 18.54%EV +4.47%E +0.854%K +1.06%G +0.047%3.2%2026-06-12 10:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -4.77%E -4.01%K -25.10%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV +1.87%E +0.367%K +0.456%G +0.009%3.6%2026-06-12 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.37%E -5.44%K -37.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.128%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 09:59
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.77%E -7.69%K -62.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -0.128%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-12 10:00
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.77%E -7.69%K -62.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -0.128%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-12 10:00
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.77%E -7.69%K -62.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -0.128%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-12 10:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.65%EV -4.77%E -4.01%K -25.10%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.35%EV -0.927%E -0.187%K -0.234%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-12 10:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.65%EV -4.77%E -4.01%K -25.10%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.35%EV -0.927%E -0.187%K -0.234%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-12 09:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.77%E -4.01%K -25.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.13%E -0.434%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-12 09:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.13%E -0.434%K -0.545%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 09:59
ReBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.13%E -0.434%K -0.545%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 09:59
Bet Right🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.37%E -5.44%K -37.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -2.13%E -0.434%K -0.545%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-12 10:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -8.77%E -7.69%K -62.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -2.13%E -0.434%K -0.545%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-12 09:59
Coolbet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.77%E -4.01%K -25.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.12%E -0.859%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-12 10:00
Betsson🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.12%E -0.859%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 10:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.12%E -0.859%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 10:00
BetAnything🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.12%E -0.859%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 10:00
Bovada🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.12%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-12 09:59
Fanatics🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.77%E -4.01%K -25.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.12%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 09:59
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.12%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-12 10:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.12%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-12 10:00
1xBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.73%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.27%EV -5.72%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-12 09:59
theScore Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.77%E -4.01%K -25.10%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -7.12%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 10:00
Fliff🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -7.12%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-12 10:00
Unibet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.12%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 10:00
TABtouch🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.12%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 10:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.12%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 09:59
Casumo🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.12%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 10:00
Grosvenor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.12%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 10:00
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.12%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.12%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 09:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.12%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 10:00
BetRivers🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.12%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 09:59
DraftKings🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.12%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 09:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.12%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 09:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.12%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 09:59
betPARX🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.12%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 10:00
Bally Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.12%E -1.76%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 10:00
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 09:59
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 09:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 09:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 10:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 09:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-12 10:00
NordicBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-12 10:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-12 10:00
betfred_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-12 09:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -6.37%E -5.44%K -37.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -12.11%E -2.75%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-12 09:59
Bet Victor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -13.51%E -3.12%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 09:58
BetMGM🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -3.17%E -2.62%K -15.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -15.11%E -3.56%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-12 10:00
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -2.37%E -1.94%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -16.11%E -3.84%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-12 10:00
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.11%E -3.84%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-12 09:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.11%E -3.84%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-12 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -18.11%E -4.42%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-12 10:00
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -18.11%E -4.42%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-12 10:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-06-12 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-06-12 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-06-12 10:00
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-06-12 10:00
Novig1.17I 85.47%NM 81.80%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.20%4.5%2026-06-12 10:00
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%4.9%2026-06-12 09:55