Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Naomi Osaka v Jasmine Paolini

2026-10-27 02:00 UTC — WTA Pan Pacific Open

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Naomi Osaka (Local)

Prediction 72.39%1.38fair odd
EV -3.72%
Edge -2.79%
Kelly -11.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.64%72.43%72.48%73.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.301.301.3380.65%77.03%76.92%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jasmine Paolini (Visit)

Prediction 27.61%3.62fair odd
EV +0.762%
Edge +0.209%
Kelly +0.288%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.11%27.57%27.52%29.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.463.453.6531.75%28.88%28.99%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Naomi Osaka (Local): 72.39%; Jasmine Paolini (Visit): 27.61%. For Jasmine Paolini (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.62. 15 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.65, producing a positive expected value of +0.762%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.61%E -5.13%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.762%E +0.209%K +0.288%G +0.002%4.9%2026-10-26 04:45
TABtouch🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.61%E -5.13%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.762%E +0.209%K +0.288%G +0.002%4.9%2026-10-26 04:45
Unibet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.61%E -5.13%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.762%E +0.209%K +0.288%G +0.002%4.9%2026-10-26 04:45
Casumo🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.61%E -5.13%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.762%E +0.209%K +0.288%G +0.002%4.9%2026-10-26 04:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.61%E -5.13%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.762%E +0.209%K +0.288%G +0.002%4.9%2026-10-26 04:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.61%E -5.13%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.762%E +0.209%K +0.288%G +0.002%4.9%2026-10-26 04:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.61%E -5.13%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.762%E +0.209%K +0.288%G +0.002%4.9%2026-10-26 04:45
Bally Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.61%E -5.13%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.762%E +0.209%K +0.288%G +0.002%4.9%2026-10-26 04:45
betPARX🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.61%E -5.13%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.762%E +0.209%K +0.288%G +0.002%4.9%2026-10-26 04:55
Grosvenor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.61%E -5.13%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.762%E +0.209%K +0.288%G +0.002%4.9%2026-10-26 05:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.61%E -5.13%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.762%E +0.209%K +0.288%G +0.002%4.9%2026-10-26 05:05
BetRivers🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.61%E -5.13%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.762%E +0.209%K +0.288%G +0.002%4.9%2026-10-26 05:36
LiveScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.61%E -5.13%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.762%E +0.209%K +0.288%G +0.002%4.9%2026-10-26 05:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.61%E -5.13%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.762%E +0.209%K +0.288%G +0.002%4.9%2026-10-26 05:55
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.24%EV -3.72%E -2.79%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.76%EV +0.486%E +0.134%K +0.184%G +0.001%2.7%2026-10-26 04:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.16%E -3.94%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.618%E -0.172%K -0.238%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-26 04:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.16%E -3.94%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.618%E -0.172%K -0.238%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-26 04:45
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.16%E -3.94%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.618%E -0.172%K -0.238%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-26 04:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.61%E -5.13%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.618%E -0.172%K -0.238%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-26 05:45
BetAnything🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.16%E -3.94%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.38%E -0.965%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-26 04:51
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.89%E -4.53%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.38%E -0.965%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-26 04:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.89%E -4.53%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.38%E -0.965%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-26 05:31
Bet Right🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.16%E -3.94%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -4.76%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-26 05:13
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.16%E -3.94%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -4.76%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-26 05:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.89%E -4.53%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.76%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-26 05:13
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.89%E -4.53%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.76%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-26 05:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.56%EV -10.23%E -8.25%K -42.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -4.76%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-26 04:45
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.44%E -3.36%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -5.59%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-26 05:45
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.44%E -3.36%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 04:51
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.16%E -3.94%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-26 05:36
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.89%E -4.53%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-26 05:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.89%E -4.53%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-26 05:50
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.61%E -5.13%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-26 04:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.61%E -5.13%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-26 05:46
picklebet_au🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.34%E -5.73%K -26.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-26 05:25
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -7.34%E -5.73%K -26.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -7.52%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-26 06:00
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -5.89%E -4.53%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -8.35%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-26 05:06
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.72%E -2.79%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-26 04:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.72%E -2.79%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-26 04:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.72%E -2.79%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-26 04:45
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.72%E -2.79%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-26 06:00
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.89%E -4.53%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-26 04:45
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.61%E -5.13%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-26 04:45
ReBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.00%EV -8.78%E -6.97%K -33.78%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.00%EV -10.56%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-26 06:29
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.72%E -2.79%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.66%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-26 05:16
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.72%E -2.79%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.66%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-26 05:15
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.89%E -4.53%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.66%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-26 04:51
Unibet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 71.43%EV -8.78%E -6.97%K -33.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -13.04%E -4.14%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-26 05:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.59%EV -9.51%E -7.61%K -38.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -13.04%E -4.14%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-26 06:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-10-26 04:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-10-26 06:25
Matchbook◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-10-26 06:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-10-26 04:51
Novig◎1.32I 75.76%NM 73.39%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.61%3.2%2026-10-26 07:15