Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.53
assuming max odds 2.86
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sorana Cirstea (Local): 64.82%; Sara Bejlek (Visit): 35.18%. For Sara Bejlek (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.84. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.86, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.628%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -7.31%E -5.11%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV +0.628%E +0.220%K +0.338%G +0.002% | 4.9% | 2026-10-21 04:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.31%E -5.11%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.277%E +0.097%K +0.149%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-21 10:31 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.06%EV -9.91%E -7.13%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.94%EV -0.427%E -0.151%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-21 04:01 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.72%EV -2.13%E -1.41%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.28%EV -2.54%E -0.916%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-10-21 09:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -5.37%E -3.68%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -2.54%E -0.916%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-21 10:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.78%E -1.85%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-21 10:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.72%E -3.21%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-21 10:31 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-21 10:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-20 12:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.26%E -6.61%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-20 12:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.43%E -2.30%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -4.30%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-21 09:36 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.43%E -2.30%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -4.30%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-21 09:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -4.72%E -3.21%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -4.30%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-21 10:05 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.72%E -3.21%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-21 10:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.72%E -3.21%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-21 10:31 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.72%E -3.21%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-21 10:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.37%E -3.68%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-21 10:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.37%E -3.68%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-21 10:11 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-21 10:31 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-21 06:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.26%E -6.61%K -23.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-21 07:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.34%EV -11.20%E -8.18%K -30.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-21 10:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.29%EV -7.31%E -5.11%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.71%EV -5.35%E -1.99%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-21 10:31 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-21 10:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-21 10:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-21 07:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-21 07:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-21 07:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-21 07:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-21 07:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-21 07:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-21 07:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-21 07:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-21 07:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-21 07:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-21 07:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-21 07:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-21 07:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-21 07:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-21 07:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.72%E -3.21%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-21 10:11 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.37%E -3.68%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-21 10:31 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.82%E -2.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-21 08:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.67%E -4.63%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.82%E -2.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-21 08:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.78%E -1.85%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.52%E -3.28%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-21 06:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.78%E -1.85%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.52%E -3.28%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-21 06:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.78%E -1.85%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.52%E -3.28%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-21 06:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.78%E -1.85%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.52%E -3.28%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-21 06:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.52%E -3.28%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-21 09:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.52%E -3.28%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-21 08:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.07%E -2.75%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.52%E -3.28%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-21 08:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.37%E -3.68%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -8.52%E -3.28%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-21 09:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.02%E -4.15%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.52%E -3.28%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-21 10:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -0.833%E -0.544%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -12.04%E -4.82%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-21 10:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.78%EV -7.96%E -5.61%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -12.04%E -4.82%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-21 07:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 0.3% | 2026-10-21 10:31 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 0.6% | 2026-10-21 10:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 0.8% | 2026-10-21 10:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 0.8% | 2026-10-21 10:11 |
| Novig◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35% | 1.8% | 2026-10-21 10:31 |