Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sara Bejlek v Marie Bouzkova

Kickoff: 2026-10-23 05:04 UTC

Final: Sara Bejlek 0–2 Marie Bouzkova

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

41%

59%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sara Bejlek (Local)

Prediction 40.97%2.44fair odd

EV +2.43%

Edge +0.973%

Kelly +1.62%

Growth +0.039%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

37.50%41.00%40.84%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.082.262.202.5048.08%44.21%45.45%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Marie Bouzkova (Visit)

Prediction 59.03%1.69fair odd

EV -0.244%

Edge -0.145%

Kelly -0.354%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

56.14%59.00%59.16%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.451.631.651.6968.97%61.36%60.61%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sara Bejlek (Local): 40.97%; Marie Bouzkova (Visit): 59.03%. For Sara Bejlek (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.43%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +2.43%E +0.973%K +1.62%G +0.039%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -9.69%E -6.33%K -18.28%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-23 05:02
Paddy Power🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +2.43%E +0.973%K +1.62%G +0.039%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -11.46%E -7.64%K -22.92%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-10-23 05:02
FanDuel🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV +1.61%E +0.650%K +1.09%G +0.018%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -8.51%E -5.49%K -15.47%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-23 05:02
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV +0.384%E +0.157%K +0.265%G +0.001%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -5.56%E -3.47%K -9.26%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-10-22 05:30
1xBet🎯	2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -0.026%E -0.011%K -0.018%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -6.74%E -4.26%K -11.62%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-10-23 03:36
BetAnything🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.66%E -0.694%K -1.19%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.15%E -3.87%K -10.42%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-10-22 22:20
Bet Right🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.66%E -0.694%K -1.19%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.33%E -4.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-23 02:00
NordicBet🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.66%E -0.694%K -1.19%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.51%E -5.49%K -15.47%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-10-23 05:00
Betsson🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.66%E -0.694%K -1.19%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.51%E -5.49%K -15.47%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-10-23 05:00
Marathon Bet🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -1.66%E -0.694%K -1.19%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -9.10%E -5.91%K -16.85%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-10-23 05:00
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.48%E -1.04%K -1.80%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.56%E -3.47%K -9.26%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-10-23 01:00
Coolbet🎯	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -2.89%E -1.22%K -2.11%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -6.15%E -3.87%K -10.42%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-23 01:00
ReBet🎯	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -2.89%E -1.22%K -2.11%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -6.15%E -3.87%K -10.42%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-23 04:05
Fanatics🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.15%E -3.87%K -10.42%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-22 21:51
Betr (AU)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.33%E -4.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-10-23 02:00
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -10.28%E -6.76%K -19.77%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-10-22 21:10
Pinnacle🎯	2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -4.53%E -1.95%K -3.41%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -0.835%E -0.497%K -1.23%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-10-23 04:51
theScore Bet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-23 04:35
BoyleSports🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-23 04:55
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -9.10%E -5.91%K -16.85%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-10-22 05:30
LowVig.ag🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -6.58%E -2.89%K -5.14%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -0.835%E -0.497%K -1.23%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-10-23 04:55
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -6.58%E -2.89%K -5.14%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -0.835%E -0.497%K -1.23%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-10-23 04:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -0.244%E -0.145%K -0.354%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-10-23 05:00
DraftKings🎯	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -8.22%E -3.67%K -6.63%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -2.02%E -1.21%K -3.05%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-10-23 05:00
888sport🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.43%E -0.853%K -2.13%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-23 04:45
William Hill🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.43%E -0.853%K -2.13%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-23 04:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.43%E -0.853%K -2.13%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-23 04:45
888sport (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.43%E -0.853%K -2.13%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-23 04:45
LeoVegas🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.61%E -1.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-10-23 05:00
Betway🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.61%E -1.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-10-23 04:55
SportsBet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.20%E -1.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-10-23 05:00
Unibet🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -10.68%E -4.90%K -9.05%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -0.835%E -0.497%K -1.23%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-23 05:02
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -10.68%E -4.90%K -9.05%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -0.835%E -0.497%K -1.23%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-23 05:00
BetRivers🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -10.68%E -4.90%K -9.05%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -0.835%E -0.497%K -1.23%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-23 05:02
Virgin Bet🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -10.68%E -4.90%K -9.05%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -0.835%E -0.497%K -1.23%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-23 05:00
Casumo🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -10.68%E -4.90%K -9.05%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -0.835%E -0.497%K -1.23%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-23 05:02
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -10.68%E -4.90%K -9.05%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -0.835%E -0.497%K -1.23%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-23 05:02
Grosvenor🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -10.68%E -4.90%K -9.05%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -0.835%E -0.497%K -1.23%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-23 05:02
TABtouch🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -10.68%E -4.90%K -9.05%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -0.835%E -0.497%K -1.23%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-23 05:02
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -10.68%E -4.90%K -9.05%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -0.835%E -0.497%K -1.23%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-23 05:02
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -10.68%E -4.90%K -9.05%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -0.835%E -0.497%K -1.23%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-23 05:02
ATG (SE)🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -10.68%E -4.90%K -9.05%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -0.835%E -0.497%K -1.23%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-23 05:02
betPARX🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -10.68%E -4.90%K -9.05%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -0.835%E -0.497%K -1.23%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-23 05:00
Bally Bet🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -10.68%E -4.90%K -9.05%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -0.835%E -0.497%K -1.23%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-23 05:02
Svenska Spel🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -10.68%E -4.90%K -9.05%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -0.835%E -0.497%K -1.23%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-23 05:02
PlayUp🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -11.91%E -5.54%K -10.35%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -0.835%E -0.497%K -1.23%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-10-23 04:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -11.91%E -5.54%K -10.35%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -0.835%E -0.497%K -1.23%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-10-23 04:55
Neds🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -11.91%E -5.54%K -10.35%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -0.835%E -0.497%K -1.23%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-10-23 04:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.91%E -5.54%K -10.35%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -2.61%E -1.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-10-23 05:00
Coral🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.91%E -5.54%K -10.35%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -2.61%E -1.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-10-23 04:55
TAB🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.91%E -5.54%K -10.35%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -2.61%E -1.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-10-23 04:55
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 40.28%EV -11.91%E -5.54%K -10.35%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 59.72%EV -14.41%E -9.94%K -32.02%G +0.000%	15.5%	2026-10-23 05:00
PMU (FR)🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -14.78%E -7.10%K -13.68%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 56.37%EV -4.97%E -3.08%K -8.14%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-10-23 05:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%	1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%	0.2%	2026-10-23 05:02
Matchbook◎	2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%	1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%	0.2%	2026-10-23 05:02
ProphetX◎	2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%	1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%	0.2%	2026-10-23 05:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%	1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%	0.6%	2026-10-23 04:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%	1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%	0.6%	2026-10-23 04:55
Novig◎	2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%	1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%	1.9%	2026-10-23 05:02