Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Marie Bouzkova v Anastasia Zakharova

2026-10-21 05:00 UTC — WTA Ningbo Open

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Marie Bouzkova (Local)

Prévision 74.19%1.35cote équitable
EV -3.55%
Avantage -2.73%
Kelly -11.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.04%74.26%74.17%76.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.221.271.271.3081.97%78.81%78.74%76.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Anastasia Zakharova (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.81%3.87cote équitable
EV +7.38%
Avantage +1.77%
Kelly +2.33%
Croissance +0.172%

avec la cote maximale 4.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.39%25.74%25.83%27.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.653.694.1630.77%27.43%27.10%24.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Marie Bouzkova (Local) : 74.19% ; Anastasia Zakharova (Visiteur) : 25.81%. Pour Anastasia Zakharova (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.87. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 4.16, pour une espérance positive de +7.38%.

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.61%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.39%EV +7.38%E +1.77%K +2.33%G +0.172%2.8%2026-10-20 13:40
Bet Right🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.92%E -0.504%K -0.684%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-20 13:40
Coolbet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.92%E -0.504%K -0.684%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-20 13:39
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.30%E -3.33%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.21%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-20 12:06
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.21%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-20 09:05
Casumo🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.21%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-20 09:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.21%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-20 09:05
TABtouch🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.21%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-20 09:05
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.21%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-20 09:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.21%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-20 09:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.21%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-20 09:05
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.21%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-20 09:05
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.21%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-20 09:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.21%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-20 09:05
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.21%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-20 09:04
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.21%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-20 09:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.21%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-20 09:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.21%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-20 09:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.21%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-20 10:35
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.30%E -3.33%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.50%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-20 13:39
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.50%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-20 12:39
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.26%E -5.81%K -29.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.50%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-20 12:39
1xBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.95%EV -3.55%E -2.73%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.05%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-20 11:05
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.04%E -3.94%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.79%E -1.59%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-20 13:40
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.04%E -3.94%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.79%E -1.59%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-20 13:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.04%E -3.94%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.79%E -1.59%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-20 13:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.79%E -1.59%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-20 12:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.79%E -1.59%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-20 13:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.98%EV -5.04%E -3.94%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.02%EV -6.05%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-20 11:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.08%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-20 13:40
theScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.52%E -5.18%K -25.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.08%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-20 12:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.26%E -5.81%K -29.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.08%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-20 10:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.42%EV -9.49%E -7.78%K -43.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -8.37%E -2.36%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-20 09:05
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.55%E -2.73%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.66%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-20 13:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.30%E -3.33%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.66%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-20 09:10
LeoVegas🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -6.52%E -5.18%K -25.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.66%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-20 10:50
picklebet_au🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.26%E -5.81%K -29.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.66%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-20 13:40
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.26%E -5.81%K -29.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.66%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-20 08:55
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.26%E -5.81%K -29.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.66%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-20 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.26%E -5.81%K -29.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.66%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-20 11:30
ReBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.42%EV -6.52%E -5.18%K -25.09%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.58%EV -10.18%E -2.92%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-20 13:40
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.55%E -2.73%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.53%E -4.04%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-20 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.55%E -2.73%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.53%E -4.04%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-20 11:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.98%EV -8.01%E -6.46%K -33.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -13.53%E -4.04%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-20 13:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.54%EV -8.75%E -7.11%K -38.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -16.11%E -4.96%K -7.16%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-20 13:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90%1.7%2026-10-20 13:30
Novig◎1.29I 77.52%NM 75.98%4.08I 24.51%NM 24.02%2.0%2026-10-20 13:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%2.5%2026-10-20 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%2.5%2026-10-20 13:40
Matchbook◎1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%2.5%2026-10-20 13:40
ProphetX◎1.10I 90.91%NM 77.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.45%17.2%2026-10-20 13:40