Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Marie Bouzkova v Anastasia Zakharova

2026-10-21 05:00 UTC — WTA Ningbo Open

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Marie Bouzkova (Local)

Predicción 74.19%1.35momio equitativo
EV -3.55%
Ventaja -2.73%
Kelly -11.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.04%74.26%74.17%76.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.221.271.271.3081.97%78.81%78.74%76.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Anastasia Zakharova (Visitante)

Predicción 25.81%3.87momio equitativo
EV +7.38%
Ventaja +1.77%
Kelly +2.33%
Crecimiento +0.172%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.39%25.74%25.83%27.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.653.694.1630.77%27.43%27.10%24.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Marie Bouzkova (Local): 74.19%; Anastasia Zakharova (Visitante): 25.81%. Para Anastasia Zakharova (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.87. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.16, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +7.38%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.61%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.39%EV +7.38%E +1.77%K +2.33%G +0.172%2.8%2026-10-20 13:40
Bet Right🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.92%E -0.504%K -0.684%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-20 13:40
Coolbet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.92%E -0.504%K -0.684%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-20 13:39
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.30%E -3.33%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.21%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-20 12:06
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.21%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-20 09:05
Casumo🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.21%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-20 09:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.21%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-20 09:05
TABtouch🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.21%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-20 09:05
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.21%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-20 09:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.21%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-20 09:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.21%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-20 09:05
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.21%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-20 09:05
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.21%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-20 09:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.21%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-20 09:05
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.21%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-20 09:04
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.21%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-20 09:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.21%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-20 09:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.21%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-20 09:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.21%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-20 10:35
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.30%E -3.33%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.50%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-20 13:39
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.50%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-20 12:39
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.26%E -5.81%K -29.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.50%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-20 12:39
1xBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.95%EV -3.55%E -2.73%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.05%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-20 11:05
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.04%E -3.94%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.79%E -1.59%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-20 13:40
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.04%E -3.94%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.79%E -1.59%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-20 13:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.04%E -3.94%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.79%E -1.59%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-20 13:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.79%E -1.59%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-20 12:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.79%E -1.59%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-20 13:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.98%EV -5.04%E -3.94%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.02%EV -6.05%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-20 11:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.78%E -4.55%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.08%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-20 13:40
theScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.52%E -5.18%K -25.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.08%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-20 12:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.26%E -5.81%K -29.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.08%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-20 10:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.42%EV -9.49%E -7.78%K -43.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -8.37%E -2.36%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-20 09:05
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.55%E -2.73%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.66%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-20 13:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.30%E -3.33%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.66%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-20 09:10
LeoVegas🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -6.52%E -5.18%K -25.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.66%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-20 10:50
picklebet_au🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.26%E -5.81%K -29.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.66%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-20 13:40
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.26%E -5.81%K -29.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.66%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-20 08:55
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.26%E -5.81%K -29.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.66%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-20 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.26%E -5.81%K -29.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.66%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-20 11:30
ReBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.42%EV -6.52%E -5.18%K -25.09%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.58%EV -10.18%E -2.92%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-20 13:40
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.55%E -2.73%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.53%E -4.04%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-20 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.55%E -2.73%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.53%E -4.04%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-20 11:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.98%EV -8.01%E -6.46%K -33.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -13.53%E -4.04%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-20 13:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.54%EV -8.75%E -7.11%K -38.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -16.11%E -4.96%K -7.16%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-20 13:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90%1.7%2026-10-20 13:30
Novig◎1.29I 77.52%NM 75.98%4.08I 24.51%NM 24.02%2.0%2026-10-20 13:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%2.5%2026-10-20 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%2.5%2026-10-20 13:40
Matchbook◎1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%2.5%2026-10-20 13:40
ProphetX◎1.10I 90.91%NM 77.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.45%17.2%2026-10-20 13:40