The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Leylah Fernandez v Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Kickoff: 2026-10-21 07:18 UTC

Final: Leylah Fernandez 2–1 Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leylah Fernandez (Local)

Prediction 66.36%1.51fair odd
EV -3.11%
Edge -2.13%
Kelly -6.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.90%66.47%66.28%68.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.431.441.4673.53%70.01%69.69%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Visit)

Prediction 33.64%2.97fair odd
EV +1.24%
Edge +0.413%
Kelly +0.618%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 3.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.82%33.53%33.72%35.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.782.753.0138.46%36.01%36.36%33.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leylah Fernandez (Local): 66.36%; Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Visit): 33.64%. For Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.97. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.01, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.24%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.10%EV -6.43%E -4.56%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV +1.24%E +0.413%K +0.618%G +0.008%4.1%2026-10-21 06:59
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.09%E -5.06%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.906%E +0.302%K +0.453%G +0.004%4.8%2026-10-21 07:01
Marathon Bet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.12%EV -7.75%E -5.58%K -19.88%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.88%EV -0.103%E -0.035%K -0.052%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-21 06:55
FanDuel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.73%EV -6.43%E -4.56%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.27%EV -0.439%E -0.148%K -0.224%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-21 06:33
SportsBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.14%EV -9.08%E -6.63%K -24.54%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.86%EV -1.45%E -0.494%K -0.750%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-21 06:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.77%E -2.60%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.46%E -0.847%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-21 05:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.09%E -5.06%K -17.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.13%E -1.09%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-21 06:35
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.09%E -5.06%K -17.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.13%E -1.09%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-21 06:34
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.74%E -7.16%K -27.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -3.13%E -1.09%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-21 06:35
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.10%E -3.57%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-21 07:05
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.10%E -3.57%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.14%E -1.45%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-21 07:05
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.10%E -3.57%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.14%E -1.45%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-21 05:45
Fanatics🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.10%E -3.57%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.14%E -1.45%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-21 06:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -9.08%E -6.63%K -24.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -4.14%E -1.45%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-21 05:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -4.44%E -3.08%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -4.81%E -1.70%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-21 05:45
ReBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -4.44%E -3.08%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -5.15%E -1.83%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-21 05:45
picklebet_au🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.44%E -3.08%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.82%E -2.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-21 05:45
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.10%E -3.57%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.82%E -2.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-21 05:45
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.10%E -3.57%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.82%E -2.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-21 05:45
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.10%E -3.57%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.82%E -2.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-20 23:35
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.76%E -4.06%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.82%E -2.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-21 05:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.76%E -4.06%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.82%E -2.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-21 06:55
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.76%E -4.06%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.82%E -2.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-21 05:45
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.44%E -3.08%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.50%E -2.73%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-21 07:04
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.44%E -3.08%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.50%E -2.73%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-20 17:50
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.44%E -3.08%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.50%E -2.73%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-20 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.44%E -3.08%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.50%E -2.73%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-20 17:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.44%E -3.08%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.50%E -2.73%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-20 17:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.10%E -3.57%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.50%E -2.73%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-21 07:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.09%E -5.06%K -17.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.50%E -2.73%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-21 01:45
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.09%E -5.06%K -17.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.50%E -2.73%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-21 01:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.11%E -2.13%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -9.18%E -3.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-20 21:15
Unibet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.11%E -2.13%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -9.18%E -3.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-20 21:16
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.11%E -2.13%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -9.18%E -3.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-20 21:15
Neds🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.77%E -2.60%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.18%E -3.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-21 01:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.77%E -2.60%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.18%E -3.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-21 01:45
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.77%E -2.60%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.18%E -3.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-20 21:15
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.77%E -2.60%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.18%E -3.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-20 21:15
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.77%E -2.60%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.18%E -3.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-20 21:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.77%E -2.60%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.18%E -3.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-20 21:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.77%E -2.60%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.18%E -3.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-20 21:15
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.77%E -2.60%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.18%E -3.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-20 21:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.77%E -2.60%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.18%E -3.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-20 21:15
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.77%E -2.60%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.18%E -3.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-20 21:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.77%E -2.60%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.18%E -3.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-20 21:16
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.77%E -2.60%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.18%E -3.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-20 21:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.77%E -2.60%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.18%E -3.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-20 21:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.77%E -2.60%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.18%E -3.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-20 21:15
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.76%E -4.06%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -9.18%E -3.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-21 05:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -6.43%E -4.56%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -9.18%E -3.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-21 05:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -7.09%E -5.06%K -17.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -12.55%E -4.83%K -7.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-20 21:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -8.42%E -6.10%K -22.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -12.55%E -4.83%K -7.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-20 17:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.18%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.82%0.6%2026-10-21 07:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-10-21 07:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-10-21 07:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-10-21 07:05
Matchbook◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-10-21 07:05
ProphetX◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-10-21 07:05