Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Katarzyna Kawa v Belinda Bencic

2026-10-22 05:00 UTC — WTA Ningbo Open

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Katarzyna Kawa (Local)

Prediction 13.21%7.57fair odd
EV +5.66%
Edge +0.708%
Kelly +0.809%
Growth +0.046%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.89%13.28%13.25%16.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.306.907.008.0018.87%14.48%14.29%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Belinda Bencic (Visit)

Prediction 86.79%1.15fair odd
EV -4.53%
Edge -4.12%
Kelly -45.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.20%86.72%86.75%88.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.091.091.1094.34%91.74%91.74%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Katarzyna Kawa (Local): 13.21%; Belinda Bencic (Visit): 86.79%. For Katarzyna Kawa (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.57. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 8.00, producing a positive expected value of +5.66%.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +5.66%E +0.708%K +0.809%G +0.046%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.40%E -4.95%K -59.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-20 18:15
FanDuel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +5.66%E +0.708%K +0.809%G +0.046%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.26%E -5.80%K -78.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-20 19:15
Betway🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +5.66%E +0.708%K +0.809%G +0.046%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.26%E -5.80%K -78.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-20 18:20
Fanatics🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -0.940%E -0.125%K -0.145%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.40%E -4.95%K -59.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-20 18:25
Bet Right🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -0.940%E -0.125%K -0.145%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.40%E -4.95%K -59.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-20 18:20
Coolbet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -0.940%E -0.125%K -0.145%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.40%E -4.95%K -59.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-20 18:20
1xBet🎯7.43I 13.46%NM 12.90%EV -1.86%E -0.251%K -0.290%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.10%EV -4.53%E -4.12%K -45.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-20 19:20
LowVig.ag🎯7.27I 13.76%NM 13.14%EV -3.98%E -0.547%K -0.634%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.86%EV -4.53%E -4.12%K -45.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-20 18:44
BetOnline.ag🎯7.27I 13.76%NM 13.14%EV -3.98%E -0.547%K -0.634%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.86%EV -4.53%E -4.12%K -45.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-20 18:45
Bovada🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -4.24%E -0.585%K -0.679%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.53%E -4.12%K -45.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-20 18:20
DraftKings🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -4.90%E -0.681%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.53%E -4.12%K -45.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-20 18:05
Tipico (DE)🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 12.83%EV -4.90%E -0.681%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.17%EV -8.00%E -7.55%K -133.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-20 19:21
Marathon Bet🎯7.10I 14.08%NM 13.31%EV -6.22%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.69%EV -5.40%E -4.95%K -59.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-20 19:15
888sport🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.54%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.53%E -4.12%K -45.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-20 18:40
William Hill🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.54%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.53%E -4.12%K -45.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-20 18:45
Winamax (DE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.54%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.53%E -4.12%K -45.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-20 19:15
888sport (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.54%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.53%E -4.12%K -45.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-20 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.54%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.53%E -4.12%K -45.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-20 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.54%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.40%E -4.95%K -59.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-20 18:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.54%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.40%E -4.95%K -59.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-20 18:14
Coral🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.54%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.26%E -5.80%K -78.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-20 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.54%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.26%E -5.80%K -78.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-20 18:10
NordicBet🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -10.19%E -1.50%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -4.53%E -4.12%K -45.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-20 19:15
Betsson🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -10.19%E -1.50%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -4.53%E -4.12%K -45.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-20 19:16
theScore Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -10.85%E -1.61%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.40%E -4.95%K -59.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-20 18:20
LeoVegas🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 14.06%EV -12.83%E -1.94%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.94%EV -6.26%E -5.80%K -78.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-20 19:16
PlayUp🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.15%E -2.18%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.53%E -4.12%K -45.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-20 18:10
Unibet (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -14.15%E -2.18%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.40%E -4.95%K -59.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-20 18:20
SportsBet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -14.15%E -2.18%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.26%E -5.80%K -78.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-20 19:00
Paddy Power🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -14.15%E -2.18%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.26%E -5.80%K -78.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-20 19:05
Neds🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -15.47%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -4.53%E -4.12%K -45.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-20 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -15.47%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -4.53%E -4.12%K -45.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-20 18:10
picklebet_au🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -20.75%E -3.46%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -5.40%E -4.95%K -59.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-20 18:20
ReBet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.70%EV -23.39%E -4.03%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 84.30%EV -6.26%E -5.80%K -78.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-20 19:15
Winamax (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.29%EV -27.36%E -4.97%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 83.71%EV -7.13%E -6.67%K -101.89%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-20 19:16
Unibet (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.80%EV -30.00%E -5.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 83.20%EV -7.13%E -6.67%K -101.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-20 18:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.06%1.7%2026-10-20 18:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.06%1.7%2026-10-20 18:31
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.06%1.7%2026-10-20 18:31
Matchbook◎8.00I 12.50%NM 12.18%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.82%2.6%2026-10-20 19:40
ProphetX◎8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%4.2%2026-10-20 19:21
Novig◎7.14I 14.01%NM 13.24%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.76%5.7%2026-10-20 20:00