Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.32
assuming max odds 1.74
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jelena Ostapenko (Local): 43.12%; Belinda Bencic (Visit): 56.88%. For Jelena Ostapenko (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.319. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.320, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.031%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV +0.031%E +0.014%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -6.14%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-20 08:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV +0.031%E +0.014%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -6.14%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-20 08:06 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -0.831%E -0.361%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -5.57%E -3.36%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-20 09:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -1.69%E -0.743%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.87%E -2.29%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-20 09:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.99%E -1.33%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-20 09:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.99%E -1.33%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.14%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-20 09:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -3.42%E -1.53%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-19 18:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.28%E -1.93%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-20 09:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -4.71%E -2.13%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-20 07:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.71%E -2.13%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-20 02:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-20 09:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-20 04:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-20 04:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-20 04:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-20 09:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-20 04:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-20 09:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-19 20:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-19 10:10 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.57%E -3.36%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-20 07:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.14%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-20 09:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.14%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-20 09:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-19 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.85%E -4.85%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-18 16:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.85%E -4.85%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-20 09:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.00%E -2.75%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-20 09:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.30%E -3.39%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-20 09:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.30%E -3.39%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-20 09:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.30%E -3.39%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-19 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.30%E -3.39%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-19 19:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.30%E -3.39%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.14%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-20 09:31 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.30%E -3.39%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.14%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-20 09:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.30%E -3.39%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.14%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-20 09:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.30%E -3.39%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.85%E -4.85%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-19 20:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.30%E -3.39%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-19 19:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.30%E -3.39%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-19 19:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -9.02%E -4.28%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -2.73%E -1.60%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-20 09:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -9.45%E -4.50%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.02%E -0.588%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-18 17:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.45%E -4.50%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.59%E -0.920%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-18 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.45%E -4.50%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.59%E -0.920%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-18 17:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.45%E -4.50%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.59%E -0.920%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-18 17:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.45%E -4.50%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.59%E -0.920%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-18 17:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.45%E -4.50%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.59%E -0.920%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-18 17:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.45%E -4.50%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.59%E -0.920%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-18 17:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.45%E -4.50%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.59%E -0.920%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-18 17:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.45%E -4.50%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.59%E -0.920%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-18 17:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.45%E -4.50%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.59%E -0.920%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-18 17:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.45%E -4.50%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.59%E -0.920%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-18 17:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.45%E -4.50%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.59%E -0.920%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-18 17:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.45%E -4.50%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.59%E -0.920%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-18 17:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.45%E -4.50%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.59%E -0.920%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-18 17:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.45%E -4.50%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.59%E -0.920%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-18 17:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.45%E -4.50%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-20 06:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -10.75%E -5.19%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -6.14%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-20 09:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -12.90%E -6.39%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.89%EV -5.57%E -3.36%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-19 01:04 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-10-20 09:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-10-20 09:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 0.7% | 2026-10-20 09:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 0.7% | 2026-10-20 09:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 0.7% | 2026-10-20 09:45 |
| Novig◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.0% | 2026-10-20 09:40 |