Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.10
assuming max odds 11.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elena Rybakina (Local): 89.52%; Katarzyna Kawa (Visit): 10.48%. For Katarzyna Kawa (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.54. 23 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.33%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -5.11%E -4.82%K -85.23%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +15.33%E +1.39%K +1.53%G +0.235% | 3.4% | 2026-10-23 05:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.90%E -6.64%K -172.60%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +15.33%E +1.39%K +1.53%G +0.235% | 5.2% | 2026-10-22 21:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.90%E -6.64%K -172.60%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +15.33%E +1.39%K +1.53%G +0.235% | 5.2% | 2026-10-22 21:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.90%E -6.64%K -172.60%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +15.33%E +1.39%K +1.53%G +0.235% | 5.2% | 2026-10-23 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.90%E -6.64%K -172.60%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +15.33%E +1.39%K +1.53%G +0.235% | 5.2% | 2026-10-22 21:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.90%E -6.64%K -172.60%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +15.33%E +1.39%K +1.53%G +0.235% | 5.2% | 2026-10-22 21:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.90%E -6.64%K -172.60%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +15.33%E +1.39%K +1.53%G +0.235% | 5.2% | 2026-10-22 21:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.90%E -6.64%K -172.60%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +15.33%E +1.39%K +1.53%G +0.235% | 5.2% | 2026-10-22 21:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.90%E -6.64%K -172.60%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +15.33%E +1.39%K +1.53%G +0.235% | 5.2% | 2026-10-22 21:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.90%E -6.64%K -172.60%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +15.33%E +1.39%K +1.53%G +0.235% | 5.2% | 2026-10-22 21:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.90%E -6.64%K -172.60%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +15.33%E +1.39%K +1.53%G +0.235% | 5.2% | 2026-10-23 11:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.90%E -6.64%K -172.60%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +15.33%E +1.39%K +1.53%G +0.235% | 5.2% | 2026-10-22 21:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.90%E -6.64%K -172.60%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +15.33%E +1.39%K +1.53%G +0.235% | 5.2% | 2026-10-22 21:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.90%E -6.64%K -172.60%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +15.33%E +1.39%K +1.53%G +0.235% | 5.2% | 2026-10-22 21:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.90%E -6.64%K -172.60%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +15.33%E +1.39%K +1.53%G +0.235% | 5.2% | 2026-10-22 21:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.90%E -6.64%K -172.60%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +15.33%E +1.39%K +1.53%G +0.235% | 5.2% | 2026-10-22 21:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.90%E -6.64%K -172.60%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +15.33%E +1.39%K +1.53%G +0.235% | 5.2% | 2026-10-22 21:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.90%E -6.64%K -172.60%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +15.33%E +1.39%K +1.53%G +0.235% | 5.2% | 2026-10-22 21:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.90%E -6.64%K -172.60%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +15.33%E +1.39%K +1.53%G +0.235% | 5.2% | 2026-10-23 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.90%E -6.64%K -172.60%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +15.33%E +1.39%K +1.53%G +0.235% | 5.2% | 2026-10-23 11:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.75%EV -5.11%E -4.82%K -85.23%G +0.000% | 10.40I 9.62%NM 9.25%EV +9.04%E +0.869%K +0.962%G +0.087% | 4.0% | 2026-10-23 12:08 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -4.22%E -3.94%K -60.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +4.85%E +0.485%K +0.539%G +0.026% | 3.5% | 2026-10-23 10:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.30%EV -4.22%E -3.94%K -60.27%G +0.000% | 9.96I 10.04%NM 9.70%EV +4.43%E +0.445%K +0.494%G +0.022% | 3.5% | 2026-10-23 12:08 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.11%E -4.82%K -85.23%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -0.395%E -0.042%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-23 09:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.11%E -4.82%K -85.23%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -0.395%E -0.042%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-23 09:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -6.01%E -5.72%K -120.18%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -0.395%E -0.042%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-23 10:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -6.01%E -5.72%K -120.18%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -0.395%E -0.042%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-22 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -6.01%E -5.72%K -120.18%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -0.395%E -0.042%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-22 19:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.87%EV -5.11%E -4.82%K -85.23%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.13%EV -1.44%E -0.154%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-23 09:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV -4.22%E -3.94%K -60.27%G +0.000% | 9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV -1.86%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-23 11:16 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV -4.22%E -3.94%K -60.27%G +0.000% | 9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV -1.86%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-23 11:16 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.77%EV -5.11%E -4.82%K -85.23%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.23%EV -2.49%E -0.268%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-23 10:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.11%E -4.82%K -85.23%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -5.64%E -0.626%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-23 10:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.11%E -4.82%K -85.23%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -5.64%E -0.626%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-23 04:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.01%E -5.72%K -120.18%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -5.64%E -0.626%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-23 12:07 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.01%E -5.72%K -120.18%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -5.64%E -0.626%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-23 12:08 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.27%EV -4.22%E -3.94%K -60.27%G +0.000% | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.73%EV -6.69%E -0.751%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-23 12:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.07%EV -3.32%E -3.08%K -41.54%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.93%EV -7.73%E -0.879%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-23 12:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.29%EV -6.01%E -5.72%K -120.18%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.71%EV -8.26%E -0.944%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-22 19:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.29%EV -6.01%E -5.72%K -120.18%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.71%EV -8.26%E -0.944%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-22 19:55 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.11%E -4.82%K -85.23%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -10.88%E -1.28%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-23 10:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.11%E -4.82%K -85.23%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -10.88%E -1.28%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-23 10:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.01%E -5.72%K -120.18%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -10.88%E -1.28%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-23 04:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.01%E -5.72%K -120.18%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -10.88%E -1.28%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-23 04:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.01%E -5.72%K -120.18%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -10.88%E -1.28%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-23 11:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.79%EV -5.11%E -4.82%K -85.23%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.21%EV -11.93%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-23 12:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.79%EV -5.11%E -4.82%K -85.23%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.21%EV -11.93%E -1.42%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-23 12:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.22%E -3.94%K -60.27%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -13.50%E -1.64%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-23 10:11 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.46%EV -4.22%E -3.94%K -60.27%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.54%EV -14.02%E -1.71%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-23 12:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.74%EV -6.90%E -6.64%K -172.60%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.26%EV -14.02%E -1.71%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-23 10:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -1.53%E -1.39%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV -16.12%E -2.02%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-23 12:08 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.07%EV -6.01%E -5.72%K -120.18%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.93%EV -18.74%E -2.42%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-23 12:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.43%EV -6.01%E -5.72%K -120.18%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.57%EV -23.46%E -3.21%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-23 12:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66% | 0.4% | 2026-10-23 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66% | 0.4% | 2026-10-23 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66% | 0.4% | 2026-10-23 12:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66% | 0.4% | 2026-10-23 11:52 |
| Novig◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-10-23 12:08 |