Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Panna Udvardy v Maya Joint

Kickoff: 2026-08-25 23:36 UTC

Final: Panna Udvardy 2–0 Maya Joint

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Panna Udvardy (Local)

Prediction 33.17%3.01fair odd
EV +2.84%
Edge +0.915%
Kelly +1.35%
Growth +0.038%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.02%33.13%33.17%36.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.842.853.1038.17%35.25%35.09%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Maya Joint (Visit)

Prediction 66.83%1.50fair odd
EV +0.241%
Edge +0.160%
Kelly +0.481%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.68%66.87%66.83%69.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.421.431.5075.19%70.20%69.93%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panna Udvardy (Local): 33.17%; Maya Joint (Visit): 66.83%. For Panna Udvardy (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.01. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.84%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +2.84%E +0.915%K +1.35%G +0.038%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -11.12%E -8.36%K -33.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-25 10:43
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.14%E -0.725%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.44%E -3.10%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-25 23:09
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.14%E -0.725%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.44%E -4.60%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 20:50
Pinnacle🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%EV -2.47%E -0.841%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%EV -3.10%E -2.14%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-25 23:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -2.80%E -0.957%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -4.44%E -3.10%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 23:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -2.80%E -0.957%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -4.44%E -3.10%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 23:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -3.14%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.44%E -3.10%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-25 23:23
BetAnything🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -3.14%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.44%E -3.10%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-25 23:09
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.80%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.44%E -3.10%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-25 22:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.80%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-25 23:10
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.80%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.44%E -4.60%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 20:54
ReBet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -4.13%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 23:09
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -4.46%E -1.55%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.77%E -2.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-25 23:10
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.79%E -1.67%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.44%E -4.60%K -16.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 20:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.79%E -1.67%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.44%E -4.60%K -16.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 20:54
1xBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.18%EV -5.13%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.82%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 23:24
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.46%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.44%E -3.10%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 23:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.46%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.44%E -3.10%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 21:55
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.46%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.44%E -3.10%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.46%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.44%E -3.10%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 21:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.46%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.44%E -3.10%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 21:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.46%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.44%E -3.10%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 21:50
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.46%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.44%E -3.10%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 21:54
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.46%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.44%E -3.10%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 21:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.46%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.44%E -3.10%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 21:50
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.46%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.44%E -3.10%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 21:55
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.46%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.44%E -3.10%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 21:55
Bally Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.46%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.44%E -3.10%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 21:50
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.46%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.44%E -3.10%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 21:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.46%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.44%E -3.10%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 21:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.46%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.44%E -3.10%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 21:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.46%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.44%E -3.10%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 21:55
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.46%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-25 23:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.46%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-25 23:09
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.46%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.77%E -4.09%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 23:09
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.46%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.77%E -4.09%K -14.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 23:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -5.46%E -1.91%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.45%E -6.17%K -22.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-25 23:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -5.79%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-25 23:24
DraftKings🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -6.12%E -2.16%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -3.77%E -2.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-25 23:19
Fanatics🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.12%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.44%E -3.10%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-25 23:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.12%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 23:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.12%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 20:54
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.12%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.11%E -3.60%K -12.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 20:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.12%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.44%E -4.60%K -16.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-25 23:09
NetBet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.12%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.83%EV -7.11%E -5.12%K -18.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-25 23:20
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.77%E -2.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-25 23:09
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.77%E -2.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-25 23:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.44%E -3.10%K -10.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.77%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.44%E -4.60%K -16.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-25 21:50
FanDuel🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.92%EV -9.11%E -3.32%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.08%EV -1.76%E -1.20%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 23:24
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -10.43%E -3.86%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.10%E -2.14%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 23:24
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -10.43%E -3.86%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -4.44%E -3.10%K -10.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 23:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -12.76%E -4.85%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV +0.241%E +0.160%K +0.481%G +0.001%4.7%2026-08-25 23:20
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -12.76%E -4.85%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -3.77%E -2.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-25 23:20
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -13.09%E -5.00%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.77%E -2.62%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-25 23:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-08-25 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-08-25 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-08-25 23:20
Matchbook2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-08-25 23:24
ProphetX2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-08-25 23:24
Novig2.86I 34.97%NM 34.40%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.60%1.6%2026-08-25 23:24