Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.60
assuming max odds 1.91
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (Local): 42.18%; Ann Li (Visit): 57.82%. For Ann Li (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.73. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.43%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -18.59%E -9.63%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV +10.43%E +5.46%K +11.46%G +1.20% | 4.2% | 2026-08-24 15:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -14.79%E -7.32%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV +8.12%E +4.34%K +9.33%G +0.758% | 3.0% | 2026-08-24 20:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -16.48%E -8.32%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV +6.96%E +3.76%K +8.19%G +0.570% | 4.6% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -16.48%E -8.32%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV +6.96%E +3.76%K +8.19%G +0.570% | 4.6% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -19.85%E -10.45%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV +6.96%E +3.76%K +8.19%G +0.570% | 6.7% | 2026-08-24 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -19.85%E -10.45%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV +6.96%E +3.76%K +8.19%G +0.570% | 6.7% | 2026-08-24 14:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -15.64%E -7.82%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +5.81%E +3.17%K +7.00%G +0.406% | 4.6% | 2026-08-24 21:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -16.48%E -8.32%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV +5.81%E +3.17%K +7.00%G +0.406% | 5.1% | 2026-08-24 20:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -19.43%E -10.17%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +5.81%E +3.17%K +7.00%G +0.406% | 7.0% | 2026-08-24 20:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -14.79%E -7.32%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +5.23%E +2.87%K +6.38%G +0.333% | 4.5% | 2026-08-24 20:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -17.75%E -9.10%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV +5.23%E +2.87%K +6.38%G +0.333% | 6.2% | 2026-08-24 21:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -16.06%E -8.07%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV +4.65%E +2.57%K +5.74%G +0.267% | 5.5% | 2026-08-24 20:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -15.64%E -7.82%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +4.07%E +2.26%K +5.09%G +0.207% | 5.6% | 2026-08-24 20:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -16.48%E -8.32%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV +4.07%E +2.26%K +5.09%G +0.207% | 6.1% | 2026-08-24 21:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -17.75%E -9.10%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +4.07%E +2.26%K +5.09%G +0.207% | 6.8% | 2026-08-24 16:18 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%EV -19.01%E -9.90%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV +1.18%E +0.675%K +1.58%G +0.019% | 9.2% | 2026-08-24 20:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -1.71%E -1.01%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -8.47%E -3.90%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-24 21:08 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.44%E -2.06%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.31%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.60%E -2.79%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.98%E -1.30%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -3.83%E -1.68%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -3.83%E -1.68%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -3.83%E -1.68%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -3.83%E -1.68%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -3.83%E -1.68%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -3.83%E -1.68%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -3.83%E -1.68%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -3.83%E -1.68%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.33%E -3.91%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.91%E -4.29%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.91%E -4.29%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.91%E -4.29%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.91%E -4.29%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.91%E -4.29%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.91%E -4.29%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.98%E -1.30%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.49%E -4.68%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.98%E -1.30%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.49%E -4.68%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.49%E -4.68%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-24 21:08 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.49%E -4.68%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.49%E -4.68%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV +2.08%E +0.860%K +1.46%G +0.030% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -8.65%E -5.47%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.393%E +0.165%K +0.285%G +0.001% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.23%E -5.88%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -2.98%E -1.30%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.23%E -5.88%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -2.98%E -1.30%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.23%E -5.88%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.23%E -5.88%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.23%E -5.88%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.23%E -5.88%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -9.23%E -5.88%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -0.873%E -0.371%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -9.80%E -6.28%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -9.80%E -6.28%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +1.24%E +0.515%K +0.883%G +0.011% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -10.38%E -6.70%K -18.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -0.873%E -0.371%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -10.38%E -6.70%K -18.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -2.98%E -1.30%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.38%E -6.70%K -18.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +7.56%E +2.97%K +4.88%G +0.369% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -10.96%E -7.12%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV +1.24%E +0.515%K +0.883%G +0.011% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -10.96%E -7.12%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.58%EV -9.31%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.42%EV -11.54%E -7.54%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -5.09%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -12.12%E -7.97%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +5.45%E +2.18%K +3.64%G +0.198% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -13.27%E -8.85%K -26.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -1.72%E -0.737%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -13.27%E -8.85%K -26.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -13.27%E -8.85%K -26.55%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV +9.67%E +3.72%K +6.05%G +0.585% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -16.16%E -11.15%K -35.92%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-24 21:12 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 0.5% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 0.5% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11% | 1.9% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18% | 2.0% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |
| Novig◎ | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40% | 4.3% | 2026-08-24 21:09 |