Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Diane Parry v Ann Li

Kickoff: 2026-08-28 23:03 UTC

Final: Diane Parry 2–0 Ann Li

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Diane Parry (Local)

Prediction 40.07%2.50fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -0.743%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.90%40.11%40.00%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.362.382.4544.44%42.33%42.02%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ann Li (Visit)

Prediction 59.93%1.67fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.680%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%59.89%60.00%61.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.581.571.6565.79%63.41%63.69%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Diane Parry (Local): 40.07%; Ann Li (Visit): 59.93%. For Ann Li (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.67. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.65, with an expected value of -1.12%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.82%E -0.743%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.52%E -4.18%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-28 05:31
Marathon Bet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.29%EV -3.42%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -6.52%E -4.18%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 22:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.82%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.92%E -1.80%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-28 21:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.82%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.92%E -1.80%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-28 21:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.82%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.12%E -2.57%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-28 20:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.82%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.12%E -2.57%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-28 20:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.82%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.12%E -2.57%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-28 21:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.82%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.12%E -2.57%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-28 22:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.82%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.72%E -2.97%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-28 13:55
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.82%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.72%E -2.97%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-28 18:29
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.82%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.32%E -3.36%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 22:55
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.82%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.32%E -3.36%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 22:54
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.82%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.11%E -4.59%K -12.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-28 22:55
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -3.82%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.31%E -5.43%K -15.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 05:20
ReBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -4.22%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.32%E -3.36%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 22:55
Pinnacle🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -4.62%E -1.94%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -1.12%E -0.680%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-28 22:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.62%E -1.94%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.32%E -3.36%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 22:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.62%E -1.94%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.32%E -3.36%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 13:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.62%E -1.94%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.32%E -3.36%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 13:55
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.62%E -1.94%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.92%E -3.77%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 13:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.62%E -1.94%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.92%E -3.77%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.62%E -1.94%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.92%E -3.77%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 13:55
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.62%E -1.94%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.92%E -3.77%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 13:55
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.62%E -1.94%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.92%E -3.77%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 13:55
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.62%E -1.94%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.92%E -3.77%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 13:55
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.62%E -1.94%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.92%E -3.77%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.62%E -1.94%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.92%E -3.77%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 13:55
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.62%E -1.94%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.92%E -3.77%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 13:55
Bally Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.62%E -1.94%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.92%E -3.77%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 13:55
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.62%E -1.94%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.92%E -3.77%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 13:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.62%E -1.94%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.92%E -3.77%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.62%E -1.94%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.92%E -3.77%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 13:55
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.62%E -1.94%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.92%E -3.77%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 10:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.62%E -1.94%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.92%E -3.77%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 12:20
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.62%E -1.94%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.31%E -5.43%K -15.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-28 11:50
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.62%E -1.94%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.31%E -5.43%K -15.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-28 11:50
SportsBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.39%EV -5.03%E -2.12%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.61%EV -7.71%E -5.01%K -14.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 22:55
NordicBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -5.43%E -2.30%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -5.92%E -3.77%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 22:55
Betsson🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -5.43%E -2.30%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -5.92%E -3.77%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 22:55
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.83%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.52%E -2.19%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 21:20
BetAnything🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.83%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.52%E -2.19%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 21:15
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.83%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.72%E -2.97%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 21:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.83%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.32%E -3.36%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 21:20
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.83%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.92%E -3.77%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-28 21:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.83%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.92%E -3.77%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-28 22:30
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.83%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.92%E -3.77%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-28 15:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.83%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.91%E -5.86%K -17.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-28 10:20
DraftKings🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -6.23%E -2.66%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.52%E -2.19%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 22:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -6.63%E -2.84%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -7.71%E -5.01%K -14.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-28 13:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -7.03%E -3.03%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -5.32%E -3.36%K -9.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 22:21
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.92%E -1.80%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 21:15
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.52%E -2.19%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 21:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.52%E -2.19%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 21:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.52%E -2.19%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 21:15
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.12%E -2.57%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 22:25
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.32%E -3.36%K -9.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.32%E -3.36%K -9.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 15:45
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.11%E -4.59%K -12.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-28 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.11%E -4.59%K -12.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-28 15:45
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.31%E -5.43%K -15.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-28 14:20
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.83%E -3.40%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.31%E -5.43%K -15.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-28 14:20
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.83%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.92%E -1.80%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-28 21:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-08-28 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-08-28 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-08-28 22:50
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-08-28 22:50
ProphetX2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-08-28 22:56
Novig2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-08-28 22:45