Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cristina Bucsa v Anna Bondár

Kickoff: 2026-08-25 21:06 UTC

Final: Cristina Bucsa 2–0 Anna Bondár

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cristina Bucsa (Local)

Prediction 44.32%2.26fair odd
EV -0.284%
Edge -0.126%
Kelly -0.227%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.75%44.28%44.30%46.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.122.102.2548.78%47.16%47.62%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anna Bondár (Visit)

Prediction 55.68%1.80fair odd
EV +0.784%
Edge +0.433%
Kelly +0.968%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.95%55.72%55.70%57.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.711.721.8161.73%58.45%58.14%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cristina Bucsa (Local): 44.32%; Anna Bondár (Visit): 55.68%. For Anna Bondár (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.80. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.81, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.784%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.71%EV -4.72%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29%EV +0.784%E +0.433%K +0.968%G +0.008%1.8%2026-08-25 14:39
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.15%E -4.46%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.56%E -1.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 20:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.72%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.11%E -1.79%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-25 11:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.11%E -1.79%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 08:59
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.15%E -4.46%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.11%E -1.79%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-24 16:18
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.72%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 13:14
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 06:34
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 06:34
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 06:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 06:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 06:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 13:24
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 13:24
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 13:29
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 13:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 13:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 13:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 13:24
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 13:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 13:29
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 13:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 13:24
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 13:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 13:24
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 13:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 00:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.72%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.23%E -2.46%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 16:02
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.72%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.23%E -2.46%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 11:24
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.05%E -2.85%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.23%E -2.46%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 18:29
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.23%E -2.46%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-24 15:44
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.15%E -4.46%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.23%E -2.46%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-25 19:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.15%E -4.46%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.23%E -2.46%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-25 19:14
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -0.284%E -0.126%K -0.227%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -4.78%E -2.80%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-25 20:54
FanDuel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.27%E -1.98%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.78%E -2.80%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-25 14:39
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.72%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.78%E -2.80%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 20:04
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.72%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.78%E -2.80%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 20:54
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.72%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.78%E -2.80%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 20:54
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.78%E -2.80%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 20:54
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.15%E -4.46%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -4.78%E -2.80%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 15:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -5.16%E -2.41%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -5.34%E -3.14%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-25 18:24
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.05%E -2.85%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.34%E -3.14%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 14:34
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.05%E -2.85%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.34%E -3.14%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 14:39
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.05%E -2.85%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.34%E -3.14%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 14:39
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.34%E -3.14%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-25 19:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.34%E -3.14%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-25 19:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.15%E -4.46%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.34%E -3.14%K -7.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-25 13:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.284%E -0.126%K -0.227%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.90%E -3.49%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-25 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.284%E -0.126%K -0.227%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.90%E -3.49%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-25 16:40
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.72%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.90%E -3.49%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-25 13:34
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.90%E -3.49%K -8.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-25 19:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -0.284%E -0.126%K -0.227%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -6.45%E -3.84%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-25 20:49
Bet Right🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.39%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.45%E -3.84%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 20:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.72%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.45%E -3.84%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 20:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.72%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.45%E -3.84%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 19:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.45%E -3.84%K -9.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-25 20:34
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.50%E -1.14%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.01%E -4.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 19:39
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.01%E -4.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 15:44
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.01%E -4.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 15:44
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.01%E -4.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-25 09:59
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.01%E -4.20%K -10.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-25 09:58
NetBet (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -6.05%E -2.85%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -8.12%E -4.92%K -12.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-25 20:44
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -4.72%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.80%E -6.05%K -15.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-25 14:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-08-25 20:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-08-25 18:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-08-25 18:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-08-25 18:29
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-08-25 20:50
Novig2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-08-25 20:24