Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anna Bondár v Liang En-shuo

Kickoff: 2026-08-23 22:20 UTC

Final: Anna Bondár 2–1 Liang En-shuo

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

72%

28%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anna Bondár (Local)

Prediction 72.26%1.38fair odd

EV -1.73%

Edge -1.27%

Kelly -4.80%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

69.98%72.10%72.34%73.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.291.311.311.3677.52%76.34%76.34%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Liang En-shuo (Visit)

Prediction 27.74%3.60fair odd

EV +0.697%

Edge +0.192%

Kelly +0.265%

Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

26.52%27.90%27.66%30.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.103.363.403.6332.26%29.77%29.41%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anna Bondár (Local): 72.26%; Liang En-shuo (Visit): 27.74%. For Liang En-shuo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.60. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.63, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.697%.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Pinnacle🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -5.34%E -4.08%K -17.23%G +0.000%	3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV +0.697%E +0.192%K +0.265%G +0.002%	3.9%	2026-08-23 22:04
LowVig.ag🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.78%EV -4.62%E -3.50%K -14.43%G +0.000%	3.53I 28.33%NM 27.22%EV -2.08%E -0.588%K -0.821%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-23 22:10
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.78%EV -4.62%E -3.50%K -14.43%G +0.000%	3.53I 28.33%NM 27.22%EV -2.08%E -0.588%K -0.821%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-23 22:09
Bovada🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.62%E -3.50%K -14.43%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.91%E -0.831%K -1.16%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-23 22:05
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.62%E -3.50%K -14.43%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.91%E -0.831%K -1.16%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-23 22:09
Betway🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.06%E -4.66%K -20.21%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.91%E -0.831%K -1.16%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-23 14:40
ReBet🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.65%EV -5.34%E -4.08%K -17.23%G +0.000%	3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -3.46%E -0.995%K -1.40%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-23 22:10
GTbets🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 71.61%EV -1.73%E -1.27%K -4.80%G +0.000%	3.43I 29.15%NM 28.39%EV -4.85%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%	2.7%	2026-08-23 16:14
FanDuel🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.34%E -4.08%K -17.23%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-23 14:30
LeoVegas🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.06%E -4.66%K -20.21%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-23 22:09
Caesars🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.79%E -5.26%K -23.40%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.68%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-23 15:34
theScore Bet🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.34%E -4.08%K -17.23%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.46%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-23 22:09
NordicBet🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.79%E -5.26%K -23.40%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.46%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-23 22:09
Betsson🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.79%E -5.26%K -23.40%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.46%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-23 22:10
PlayUp🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.89%E -2.93%K -11.80%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.84%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-23 22:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.06%E -4.66%K -20.21%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-23 14:30
Sky Bet🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.06%E -4.66%K -20.21%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-23 14:35
Paddy Power🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.06%E -4.66%K -20.21%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-23 14:40
betano_uk🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.06%E -4.66%K -20.21%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-23 22:03
Bet Victor🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.06%E -4.66%K -20.21%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.23%E -3.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-23 22:03
BoyleSports🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.89%E -2.93%K -11.80%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.00%E -4.52%K -6.67%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-23 15:54

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07%	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%	1.5%	2026-08-23 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07%	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%	1.5%	2026-08-23 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07%	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%	1.5%	2026-08-23 21:55
Novig◎	1.32I 75.76%NM 74.07%	3.77I 26.53%NM 25.93%	2.3%	2026-08-23 22:15
ProphetX◎	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%	3.4%	2026-08-23 22:10