Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alycia Parks v Petra Marcinko

Kickoff: 2026-08-24 22:36 UTC

Final: Alycia Parks 2–1 Petra Marcinko

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alycia Parks (Local)

Prediction 48.36%2.07fair odd
EV +2.52%
Edge +1.19%
Kelly +2.25%
Growth +0.057%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.94%48.18%48.52%50.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.971.982.1254.64%50.83%50.51%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Petra Marcinko (Visit)

Prediction 51.64%1.94fair odd
EV -0.332%
Edge -0.172%
Kelly -0.357%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.48%51.82%51.48%55.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.821.831.9358.14%54.99%54.64%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alycia Parks (Local): 48.36%; Petra Marcinko (Visit): 51.64%. For Alycia Parks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.07. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.52%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV +2.52%E +1.19%K +2.25%G +0.057%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -10.66%E -6.16%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 15:20
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -0.865%E -0.422%K -0.824%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -10.14%E -5.83%K -13.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 15:34
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -2.32%E -1.15%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -8.08%E -4.54%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-24 12:44
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -2.32%E -1.15%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -8.08%E -4.54%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-24 12:45
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -2.32%E -1.15%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -8.08%E -4.54%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-24 12:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -2.32%E -1.15%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -8.08%E -4.54%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-24 12:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -2.32%E -1.15%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -8.08%E -4.54%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-24 12:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -2.32%E -1.15%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -8.08%E -4.54%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-24 12:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -2.32%E -1.15%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -8.08%E -4.54%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-24 12:44
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -2.32%E -1.15%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -8.08%E -4.54%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-24 12:44
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -2.32%E -1.15%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -8.08%E -4.54%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-24 12:44
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -2.32%E -1.15%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -8.08%E -4.54%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-24 12:41
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -2.32%E -1.15%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -8.08%E -4.54%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-24 12:44
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -2.32%E -1.15%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -8.08%E -4.54%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-24 12:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -2.32%E -1.15%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -8.08%E -4.54%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-24 12:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -2.32%E -1.15%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -8.08%E -4.54%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-24 12:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.83%EV -2.80%E -1.39%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -8.59%E -4.86%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 22:19
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -2.40%E -1.27%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-24 21:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -4.98%E -2.71%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-24 21:14
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.50%E -3.00%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-24 19:34
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.50%E -3.00%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-24 19:33
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.50%E -3.00%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-24 21:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.01%E -3.30%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-24 21:14
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.01%E -3.30%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-24 21:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.53%E -3.61%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-24 21:14
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.05%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-24 11:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.59%E -4.86%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-24 12:44
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -11.18%E -6.50%K -15.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-24 19:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.25%E -2.15%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-24 22:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.25%E -2.15%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-24 22:24
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.25%E -2.15%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -7.05%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-24 21:14
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.25%E -2.15%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -7.05%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-24 21:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -4.73%E -2.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -9.63%E -5.50%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-24 12:44
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.43%E -1.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-24 21:24
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.43%E -1.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-24 21:44
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -3.95%E -2.12%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-24 21:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 21:19
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 22:24
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 21:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 21:19
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 21:19
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.50%E -3.00%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 22:24
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.18%E -3.19%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.95%E -2.12%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 22:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.18%E -3.19%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-24 22:24
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.18%E -3.19%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-24 22:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -6.18%E -3.19%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -7.05%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-24 21:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.67%E -3.45%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 22:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -6.67%E -3.45%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -4.98%E -2.71%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 22:24
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.64%E -4.00%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-24 21:24
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.64%E -4.00%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.50%E -3.00%K -6.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-24 21:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.64%E -4.00%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.50%E -3.00%K -6.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-24 21:24
betano_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.64%E -4.00%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.05%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-24 21:19
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.64%E -4.00%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.05%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-24 21:18
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.12%E -4.27%K -9.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.88%E -0.990%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 21:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.12%E -4.27%K -9.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.88%E -0.990%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 21:14
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.12%E -4.27%K -9.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-24 21:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.12%E -4.27%K -9.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-24 21:24
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -8.60%E -4.55%K -9.67%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -0.332%E -0.172%K -0.357%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-24 21:14
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -9.09%E -4.83%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.55%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-24 21:24
NetBet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.49%EV -9.09%E -4.83%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.51%EV -8.59%E -4.86%K -11.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-24 21:44
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -11.50%E -6.29%K -13.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -3.00%K -6.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-24 21:14
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -11.50%E -6.29%K -13.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -3.00%K -6.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-24 21:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-08-24 22:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-08-24 22:24
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-08-24 22:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-08-24 22:24
ProphetX1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38%1.3%2026-08-24 22:20
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-08-24 22:25