Language:English
Zeynep Sonmez v Belinda Bencic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zeynep Sonmez (Local)
Prediction 29.16%3.43fair odd
EV +23.06%
Edge +5.47%
Kelly +7.16%
Growth +1.65%
assuming max odds 4.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.57%28.83%28.88%32.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.873.433.354.2234.84%29.19%29.85%23.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Belinda Bencic (Visit)
Prediction 70.84%1.41fair odd
EV -2.95%
Edge -2.15%
Kelly -7.98%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.85%71.17%71.12%77.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.301.321.3781.97%76.66%75.76%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zeynep Sonmez (Local): 29.16%; Belinda Bencic (Visit): 70.84%. For Zeynep Sonmez (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.43. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.22, corresponding to a positive expected value of +23.06%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.57%EV +23.06%E +5.47%K +7.16%G +1.65% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.43%EV -12.87%E -10.46%K -55.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 14:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.52%EV +20.44%E +4.95%K +6.53%G +1.33% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.48%EV -10.04%E -7.90%K -37.17%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-20 14:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +19.57%E +4.77%K +6.31%G +1.23% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -12.16%E -9.81%K -50.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 14:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +16.65%E +4.16%K +5.55%G +0.924% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -11.45%E -9.16%K -45.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 14:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +16.65%E +4.16%K +5.55%G +0.924% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -11.45%E -9.16%K -45.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 14:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +16.65%E +4.16%K +5.55%G +0.924% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -13.58%E -11.13%K -61.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 14:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +16.65%E +4.16%K +5.55%G +0.924% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -13.58%E -11.13%K -61.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 14:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.75%EV +16.07%E +4.04%K +5.39%G +0.866% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.25%EV -12.16%E -9.81%K -50.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 14:33 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV +12.27%E +3.19%K +4.31%G +0.529% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -11.45%E -9.16%K -45.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 14:36 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV +12.27%E +3.19%K +4.31%G +0.529% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -11.45%E -9.16%K -45.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 14:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV +11.69%E +3.05%K +4.13%G +0.483% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -9.33%E -7.29%K -33.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-20 14:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV +11.69%E +3.05%K +4.13%G +0.483% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -9.33%E -7.29%K -33.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-20 14:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV +9.36%E +2.50%K +3.40%G +0.318% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -12.16%E -9.81%K -50.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-20 14:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV +9.36%E +2.50%K +3.40%G +0.318% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -12.16%E -9.81%K -50.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-20 14:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +4.98%E +1.38%K +1.92%G +0.096% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -7.20%E -5.50%K -23.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 14:43 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +2.07%E +0.591%K +0.827%G +0.017% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.91%E -6.09%K -26.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.848%E -0.250%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.49%E -4.92%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 14:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.848%E -0.250%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.91%E -6.09%K -26.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.848%E -0.250%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.91%E -6.09%K -26.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -0.848%E -0.250%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -8.62%E -6.68%K -29.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-20 14:43 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.31%E -0.689%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.79%E -4.35%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.31%E -0.689%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.79%E -4.35%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.31%E -0.689%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.79%E -4.35%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.31%E -0.689%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.79%E -4.35%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.31%E -0.689%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.79%E -4.35%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.31%E -0.689%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.79%E -4.35%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.31%E -0.689%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.79%E -4.35%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -2.31%E -0.689%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.49%E -4.92%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.54%EV -2.89%E -0.868%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.46%EV -5.79%E -4.35%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.76%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.08%E -3.79%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.76%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.20%E -5.50%K -23.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -3.76%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -8.62%E -6.68%K -29.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.22%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.49%E -4.92%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.22%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.49%E -4.92%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.22%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.49%E -4.92%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.22%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.49%E -4.92%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.22%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.49%E -4.92%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.22%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.49%E -4.92%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -5.22%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -8.62%E -6.68%K -29.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.68%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.66%E -2.69%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 14:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.68%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.79%E -4.35%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 14:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.68%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.91%E -6.09%K -26.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.68%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.91%E -6.09%K -26.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.68%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.91%E -6.09%K -26.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.60%E -3.10%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.08%E -3.79%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.60%E -3.10%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.08%E -3.79%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.60%E -3.10%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.79%E -4.35%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-20 14:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -11.06%E -3.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.37%E -3.24%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -12.51%E -4.17%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -2.95%E -2.15%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.51%E -4.17%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.66%E -2.69%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.51%E -4.17%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.66%E -2.69%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-20 14:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.51%E -4.17%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.79%E -4.35%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-20 14:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.51%E -4.17%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.49%E -4.92%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV -16.30%E -5.68%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -3.66%E -2.69%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Novig◎ | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.24% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 14:44 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32% | 6.9% | 2026-03-20 14:45 |