La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Zeynep Sonmez v Beatriz Haddad Maia
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Zeynep Sonmez (Local)
Predicción 58.63%1.71momio equitativo
EV +2.60%
Ventaja +1.49%
Kelly +3.47%
Crecimiento +0.090%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.33%59.07%59.09%67.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.561.571.7571.43%64.03%63.69%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Beatriz Haddad Maia (Visitante)
Predicción 41.37%2.42momio equitativo
EV +21.22%
Ventaja +7.24%
Kelly +10.99%
Crecimiento +2.33%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.93
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.64%40.93%40.91%46.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.402.352.9350.00%41.65%42.55%34.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -16.75%E -11.79%K -39.88%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV +21.22%E +7.24%K +10.99%G +2.33% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 23:12 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -16.75%E -11.79%K -39.88%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV +21.22%E +7.24%K +10.99%G +2.33% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 23:13 |
| Bet Right | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -16.75%E -11.79%K -39.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +19.98%E +6.89%K +10.52%G +2.10% | 4.9% | 2026-03-17 23:08 |
| Pinnacle | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -13.82%E -9.40%K -29.40%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV +18.32%E +6.41%K +9.85%G +1.81% | 3.0% | 2026-03-17 23:15 |
| GTbets | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -13.23%E -8.94%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV +17.91%E +6.28%K +9.68%G +1.73% | 2.7% | 2026-03-17 23:06 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -16.75%E -11.79%K -39.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +15.84%E +5.66%K +8.80%G +1.39% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 23:12 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -17.92%E -12.80%K -44.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +15.84%E +5.66%K +8.80%G +1.39% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 23:12 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -17.92%E -12.80%K -44.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +15.84%E +5.66%K +8.80%G +1.39% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 23:13 |
| BetUS | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -13.82%E -9.40%K -29.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV +13.77%E +5.01%K +7.87%G +1.08% | 4.4% | 2026-03-17 23:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -14.40%E -9.87%K -31.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV +13.77%E +5.01%K +7.87%G +1.08% | 4.9% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -15.58%E -10.82%K -35.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +13.77%E +5.01%K +7.87%G +1.08% | 5.8% | 2026-03-17 23:08 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -16.16%E -11.30%K -37.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +13.77%E +5.01%K +7.87%G +1.08% | 6.3% | 2026-03-17 23:08 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -15.58%E -10.82%K -35.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +7.57%E +2.91%K +4.73%G +0.358% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 23:08 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -15.58%E -10.82%K -35.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +7.57%E +2.91%K +4.73%G +0.358% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 23:08 |
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.95%E -5.07%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +1.36%E +0.556%K +0.939%G +0.013% | 4.5% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.95%E -5.07%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.707%E -0.295%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.95%E -5.07%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.53%E -0.645%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.95%E -5.07%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.53%E -0.645%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -10.30%E -6.73%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -1.53%E -0.645%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -10.30%E -6.73%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -1.53%E -0.645%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -6.78%E -4.27%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -1.95%E -0.822%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -10.30%E -6.73%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -1.95%E -0.822%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -7.95%E -5.07%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -2.36%E -1.00%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.20%E -3.87%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.78%E -1.18%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.54%E -5.47%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -2.78%E -1.18%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |
| TAB | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -9.13%E -5.89%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -2.78%E -1.18%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |
| Fliff | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -12.06%E -8.04%K -24.12%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -2.78%E -1.18%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-17 23:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -8.54%E -5.47%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -3.60%E -1.55%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.78%E -4.27%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.84%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 23:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.95%E -5.07%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.84%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 23:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.95%E -5.07%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.84%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 23:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -9.71%E -6.31%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -5.67%E -2.49%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.09%E -1.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -8.54%E -5.47%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -9.71%E -6.31%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |
| Casumo | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.68%E -1.61%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.74%E -3.47%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |
| Unibet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.68%E -1.61%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.74%E -3.47%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.68%E -1.61%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.74%E -3.47%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |
| betPARX | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.68%E -1.61%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.74%E -3.47%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.68%E -1.61%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.74%E -3.47%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.26%E -1.98%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.98%E -4.08%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 23:19 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.26%E -1.98%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.98%E -4.08%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.98%E -4.08%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -9.81%E -4.50%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -9.81%E -4.50%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -9.81%E -4.50%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -5.02%E -3.10%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -10.64%E -4.92%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.26%E -1.98%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.05%E -5.14%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.26%E -1.98%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.05%E -5.14%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -2.09%E -1.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -13.12%E -6.25%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -2.09%E -1.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -13.12%E -6.25%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -2.68%E -1.61%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -13.12%E -6.25%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV +2.60%E +1.49%K +3.47%G +0.090% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -17.26%E -8.63%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 23:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.2% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79% | 1.6% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27% | 4.5% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |
| Novig | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69% | 6.3% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |
| ProphetX | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 23:20 |