مدرسة الاحتمالات

Zeynep Sonmez v Beatriz Haddad Maia

البداية: 2026-03-18 00:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Zeynep Sonmez (المضيف)

التنبؤ 58.63%1.71السعر العادل
EV +2.60%
الأفضلية +1.49%
Kelly +3.47%
النمو +0.090%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.33%59.07%59.09%67.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.401.561.571.7571.43%64.03%63.69%57.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Beatriz Haddad Maia (الضيف)

التنبؤ 41.37%2.42السعر العادل
EV +21.22%
الأفضلية +7.24%
Kelly +10.99%
النمو +2.33%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.93

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.64%40.93%40.91%46.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.402.352.9350.00%41.65%42.55%34.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -16.75%E -11.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV +21.22%E +7.24%K +10.99%G +2.33%4.6%2026-03-17 23:12
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -16.75%E -11.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV +21.22%E +7.24%K +10.99%G +2.33%4.6%2026-03-17 23:13
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -16.75%E -11.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +19.98%E +6.89%K +10.52%G +2.10%4.9%2026-03-17 23:08
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -13.82%E -9.40%K -29.40%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV +18.32%E +6.41%K +9.85%G +1.81%3.0%2026-03-17 23:15
GTbets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -13.23%E -8.94%K -27.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV +17.91%E +6.28%K +9.68%G +1.73%2.7%2026-03-17 23:06
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -16.75%E -11.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +15.84%E +5.66%K +8.80%G +1.39%6.1%2026-03-17 23:12
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -17.92%E -12.80%K -44.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +15.84%E +5.66%K +8.80%G +1.39%7.1%2026-03-17 23:12
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -17.92%E -12.80%K -44.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +15.84%E +5.66%K +8.80%G +1.39%7.1%2026-03-17 23:13
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -13.82%E -9.40%K -29.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV +13.77%E +5.01%K +7.87%G +1.08%4.4%2026-03-17 23:04
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -14.40%E -9.87%K -31.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV +13.77%E +5.01%K +7.87%G +1.08%4.9%2026-03-17 23:20
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -15.58%E -10.82%K -35.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +13.77%E +5.01%K +7.87%G +1.08%5.8%2026-03-17 23:08
Betr (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -16.16%E -11.30%K -37.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +13.77%E +5.01%K +7.87%G +1.08%6.3%2026-03-17 23:08
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -15.58%E -10.82%K -35.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +7.57%E +2.91%K +4.73%G +0.358%7.9%2026-03-17 23:08
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -15.58%E -10.82%K -35.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +7.57%E +2.91%K +4.73%G +0.358%7.9%2026-03-17 23:08
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.95%E -5.07%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +1.36%E +0.556%K +0.939%G +0.013%4.5%2026-03-17 23:20
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.95%E -5.07%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.707%E -0.295%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 23:20
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.95%E -5.07%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.53%E -0.645%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-17 23:20
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.95%E -5.07%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.53%E -0.645%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-17 23:20
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -10.30%E -6.73%K -19.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -1.53%E -0.645%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 23:20
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -10.30%E -6.73%K -19.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -1.53%E -0.645%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 23:20
Coolbet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -6.78%E -4.27%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -1.95%E -0.822%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 23:20
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -10.30%E -6.73%K -19.43%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -1.95%E -0.822%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 23:20
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -7.95%E -5.07%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -2.36%E -1.00%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 23:20
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.20%E -3.87%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.78%E -1.18%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 23:20
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.54%E -5.47%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -2.78%E -1.18%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 23:20
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -9.13%E -5.89%K -16.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -2.78%E -1.18%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 23:20
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -12.06%E -8.04%K -24.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -2.78%E -1.18%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 23:15
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -8.54%E -5.47%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -3.60%E -1.55%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 23:20
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.78%E -4.27%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.84%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 23:15
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.95%E -5.07%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.84%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 23:15
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.95%E -5.07%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.84%E -2.11%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -9.71%E -6.31%K -17.99%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -5.67%E -2.49%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 23:20
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.09%E -1.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 23:20
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -8.54%E -5.47%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 23:20
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -9.71%E -6.31%K -17.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 23:20
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.68%E -1.61%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.74%E -3.47%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 23:20
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.68%E -1.61%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.74%E -3.47%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 23:20
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.68%E -1.61%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.74%E -3.47%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 23:20
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.68%E -1.61%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.74%E -3.47%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 23:20
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.68%E -1.61%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.74%E -3.47%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 23:20
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.26%E -1.98%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.98%E -4.08%K -7.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 23:19
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.26%E -1.98%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.98%E -4.08%K -7.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 23:20
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.98%E -4.08%K -7.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 23:20
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -9.81%E -4.50%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 23:20
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -9.81%E -4.50%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 23:20
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -9.81%E -4.50%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 23:20
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -5.02%E -3.10%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -10.64%E -4.92%K -9.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 23:20
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.26%E -1.98%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.05%E -5.14%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 23:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.26%E -1.98%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.05%E -5.14%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 23:20
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -2.09%E -1.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -13.12%E -6.25%K -11.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 23:20
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -2.09%E -1.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -13.12%E -6.25%K -11.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 23:20
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -2.68%E -1.61%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -13.12%E -6.25%K -11.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 23:20
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV +2.60%E +1.49%K +3.47%G +0.090%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -17.26%E -8.63%K -17.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 23:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-03-17 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-03-17 23:20
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-03-17 23:20
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-03-17 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%4.5%2026-03-17 23:20
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%6.3%2026-03-17 23:20
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%7.2%2026-03-17 23:20