La scuola delle quote

Yuliia Starodubtseva v Cristina Bucsa

Inizio: 2026-03-20 20:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Yuliia Starodubtseva (Casa)

Previsione 38.93%2.57quota equa
EV +5.12%
Vantaggio +1.90%
Kelly +3.01%
Crescita +0.154%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.25%38.91%38.75%41.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.462.452.7044.44%40.72%40.82%37.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cristina Bucsa (Trasferta)

Previsione 61.07%1.64quota equa
EV -1.68%
Vantaggio -1.04%
Kelly -2.76%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.61

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.29%61.09%61.25%64.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.431.531.531.6169.93%65.56%65.36%62.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +5.12%E +1.90%K +3.01%G +0.154%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -8.40%E -5.60%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-20 20:30
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +5.12%E +1.90%K +3.01%G +0.154%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -10.23%E -6.96%K -21.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:29
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +5.12%E +1.90%K +3.01%G +0.154%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -10.23%E -6.96%K -21.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:25
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +3.17%E +1.20%K +1.92%G +0.061%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -8.40%E -5.60%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 20:25
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV +2.39%E +0.910%K +1.47%G +0.035%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -11.45%E -7.90%K -25.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 20:29
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV +2.39%E +0.910%K +1.47%G +0.035%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -11.45%E -7.90%K -25.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 20:25
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV +1.23%E +0.472%K +0.766%G +0.009%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -10.84%E -7.43%K -23.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 20:30
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV +1.23%E +0.472%K +0.766%G +0.009%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -12.67%E -8.86%K -29.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 20:25
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.721%E -0.283%K -0.465%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.57%E -4.29%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 20:29
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -0.721%E -0.283%K -0.465%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -7.18%E -4.72%K -13.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 20:25
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.721%E -0.283%K -0.465%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.79%E -5.16%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 20:29
LowVig.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -1.50%E -0.593%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-20 20:19
BetOnline.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -1.50%E -0.593%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-20 20:20
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.67%E -1.07%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 20:20
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.67%E -1.07%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.29%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 20:17
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.67%E -1.07%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.29%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 20:30
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.67%E -1.07%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.29%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 20:30
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.67%E -1.07%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.29%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 20:30
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.67%E -1.07%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.29%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 20:30
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.67%E -1.07%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.29%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 20:30
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.67%E -1.07%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.40%E -5.60%K -16.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 20:30
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.67%E -1.07%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.40%E -5.60%K -16.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 20:25
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -2.67%E -1.07%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -9.62%E -6.50%K -20.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 20:30
Fliff2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -2.67%E -1.07%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -12.06%E -8.38%K -27.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-20 20:25
Unibet (FR)2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.96%E -3.87%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:26
ReBet2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.96%E -3.87%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:13
Bet Right2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.45%E -1.39%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.96%E -3.87%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:18
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -3.45%E -1.39%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -7.79%E -5.16%K -15.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 20:30
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.61%E -1.88%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.96%E -3.87%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 20:18
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.61%E -1.88%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.40%E -5.60%K -16.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 20:30
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.61%E -1.88%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.40%E -5.60%K -16.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 20:30
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.61%E -1.88%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.40%E -5.60%K -16.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 20:30
GTbets2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -5.00%E -2.05%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:17
SportsBet2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV -5.00%E -2.05%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%EV -7.79%E -5.16%K -15.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 20:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -5.39%E -2.22%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.15%EV -9.62%E -6.50%K -20.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 20:30
NetBet (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -5.78%E -2.39%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -7.18%E -4.72%K -13.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 20:15
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.51%E -2.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 20:17
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.35%E -3.45%K -9.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 20:19
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.96%E -3.87%K -11.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 20:15
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.57%E -4.29%K -12.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 20:28
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.57%E -4.29%K -12.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 20:30
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.18%E -4.72%K -13.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 20:18
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.18%E -4.72%K -13.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 20:18
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -10.23%E -6.96%K -21.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-20 20:29
PMU (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.34%E -3.08%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.57%E -4.29%K -12.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 20:19
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.34%E -3.08%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.57%E -4.29%K -12.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 20:30
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.34%E -3.08%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.57%E -4.29%K -12.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 20:30
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.34%E -3.08%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.57%E -4.29%K -12.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 20:30
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.51%E -3.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.12%E -2.63%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 20:30
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.51%E -3.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.12%E -2.63%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 20:30
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.45%E -4.55%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.29%E -1.43%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 20:30
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.45%E -4.55%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.12%E -2.63%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 20:30
DraftKings2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -11.23%E -4.93%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -1.68%E -1.04%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 20:30
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -12.40%E -5.51%K -9.92%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -1.68%E -1.04%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 20:30
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.40%E -5.51%K -9.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.12%E -2.63%K -7.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 20:28
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.40%E -5.51%K -9.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.12%E -2.63%K -7.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 20:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.40%E -5.51%K -9.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.12%E -2.63%K -7.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 20:29
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -12.40%E -5.51%K -9.92%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 20:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%1.3%2026-03-20 20:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17%1.9%2026-03-20 20:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17%1.9%2026-03-20 20:30
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%2.6%2026-03-20 20:30
Novig2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%3.1%2026-03-20 20:30
ProphetX2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%4.7%2026-03-20 20:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%5.2%2026-03-20 20:30