L’École des cotes

Yuliia Starodubtseva v Cristina Bucsa

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-20 20:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Yuliia Starodubtseva (Local)

Prévision 38.93%2.57cote équitable
EV +5.12%
Avantage +1.90%
Kelly +3.01%
Croissance +0.154%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.25%38.91%38.75%41.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.462.452.7044.44%40.72%40.82%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cristina Bucsa (Visiteur)

Prévision 61.07%1.64cote équitable
EV -1.68%
Avantage -1.04%
Kelly -2.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.29%61.09%61.25%64.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.431.531.531.6169.93%65.56%65.36%62.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +5.12%E +1.90%K +3.01%G +0.154%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -8.40%E -5.60%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-20 20:30
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +5.12%E +1.90%K +3.01%G +0.154%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -10.23%E -6.96%K -21.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:29
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +5.12%E +1.90%K +3.01%G +0.154%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -10.23%E -6.96%K -21.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:25
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +3.17%E +1.20%K +1.92%G +0.061%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -8.40%E -5.60%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 20:25
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV +2.39%E +0.910%K +1.47%G +0.035%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -11.45%E -7.90%K -25.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 20:29
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV +2.39%E +0.910%K +1.47%G +0.035%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -11.45%E -7.90%K -25.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 20:25
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV +1.23%E +0.472%K +0.766%G +0.009%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -10.84%E -7.43%K -23.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 20:30
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV +1.23%E +0.472%K +0.766%G +0.009%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -12.67%E -8.86%K -29.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 20:25
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.721%E -0.283%K -0.465%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.57%E -4.29%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 20:29
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -0.721%E -0.283%K -0.465%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -7.18%E -4.72%K -13.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 20:25
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.721%E -0.283%K -0.465%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.79%E -5.16%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 20:29
LowVig.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -1.50%E -0.593%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-20 20:19
BetOnline.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -1.50%E -0.593%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-20 20:20
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.67%E -1.07%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 20:20
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.67%E -1.07%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.29%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 20:17
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.67%E -1.07%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.29%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 20:30
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.67%E -1.07%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.29%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 20:30
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.67%E -1.07%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.29%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 20:30
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.67%E -1.07%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.29%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 20:30
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.67%E -1.07%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.57%E -4.29%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 20:30
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.67%E -1.07%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.40%E -5.60%K -16.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 20:30
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.67%E -1.07%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.40%E -5.60%K -16.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 20:25
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -2.67%E -1.07%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -9.62%E -6.50%K -20.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 20:30
Fliff2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -2.67%E -1.07%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -12.06%E -8.38%K -27.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-20 20:25
Unibet (FR)2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.96%E -3.87%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:26
ReBet2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -3.06%E -1.23%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.96%E -3.87%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:13
Bet Right2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.45%E -1.39%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.96%E -3.87%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:18
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -3.45%E -1.39%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -7.79%E -5.16%K -15.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 20:30
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.61%E -1.88%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.96%E -3.87%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 20:18
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.61%E -1.88%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.40%E -5.60%K -16.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 20:30
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.61%E -1.88%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.40%E -5.60%K -16.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 20:30
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.61%E -1.88%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.40%E -5.60%K -16.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 20:30
GTbets2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -5.00%E -2.05%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:17
SportsBet2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV -5.00%E -2.05%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%EV -7.79%E -5.16%K -15.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 20:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -5.39%E -2.22%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.15%EV -9.62%E -6.50%K -20.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 20:30
NetBet (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -5.78%E -2.39%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -7.18%E -4.72%K -13.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 20:15
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.51%E -2.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 20:17
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.35%E -3.45%K -9.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 20:19
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.96%E -3.87%K -11.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 20:15
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.57%E -4.29%K -12.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 20:28
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.57%E -4.29%K -12.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 20:30
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.18%E -4.72%K -13.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 20:18
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.18%E -4.72%K -13.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 20:18
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -10.23%E -6.96%K -21.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-20 20:29
PMU (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.34%E -3.08%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.57%E -4.29%K -12.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 20:19
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.34%E -3.08%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.57%E -4.29%K -12.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 20:30
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.34%E -3.08%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.57%E -4.29%K -12.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 20:30
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.34%E -3.08%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.57%E -4.29%K -12.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 20:30
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.51%E -3.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.12%E -2.63%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 20:30
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.51%E -3.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.12%E -2.63%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 20:30
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.45%E -4.55%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.29%E -1.43%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 20:30
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.45%E -4.55%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.12%E -2.63%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 20:30
DraftKings2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -11.23%E -4.93%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -1.68%E -1.04%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 20:30
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -12.40%E -5.51%K -9.92%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -1.68%E -1.04%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 20:30
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.40%E -5.51%K -9.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.12%E -2.63%K -7.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 20:28
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.40%E -5.51%K -9.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.12%E -2.63%K -7.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 20:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.40%E -5.51%K -9.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.12%E -2.63%K -7.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 20:29
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -12.40%E -5.51%K -9.92%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -4.74%E -3.04%K -8.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 20:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%1.3%2026-03-20 20:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17%1.9%2026-03-20 20:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17%1.9%2026-03-20 20:30
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%2.6%2026-03-20 20:30
Novig2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%3.1%2026-03-20 20:30
ProphetX2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%4.7%2026-03-20 20:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%5.2%2026-03-20 20:30