Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Viktorija Golubic v Peyton Stearns

Kickoff: 2026-03-19 18:02 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Viktorija Golubic (Local)

Prediction 27.63%3.62fair odd
EV +17.43%
Edge +4.10%
Kelly +5.36%
Growth +0.934%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.30%27.11%27.82%30.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.403.354.2533.33%29.45%29.85%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Peyton Stearns (Visit)

Prediction 72.37%1.38fair odd
EV -0.129%
Edge -0.093%
Kelly -0.339%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.28%72.89%72.18%77.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.311.301.3881.97%76.51%76.92%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Viktorija Golubic (Local): 27.63%; Peyton Stearns (Visit): 72.37%. For Viktorija Golubic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.62. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +17.43%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +17.43%E +4.10%K +5.36%G +0.934%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -11.71%E -9.60%K -53.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 18:00
FanDuel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +13.28%E +3.24%K +4.28%G +0.569%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -10.26%E -8.27%K -42.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 18:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +3.61%E +0.963%K +1.31%G +0.047%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.64%E -5.15%K -22.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 17:59
NordicBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +3.61%E +0.963%K +1.31%G +0.047%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -8.09%E -6.37%K -29.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 18:00
theScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +3.61%E +0.963%K +1.31%G +0.047%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.54%E -7.63%K -38.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 18:00
Bet Victor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +3.61%E +0.963%K +1.31%G +0.047%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.54%E -7.63%K -38.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 17:59
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV +3.61%E +0.963%K +1.31%G +0.047%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -11.71%E -9.60%K -53.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 18:00
BetRivers🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV +0.848%E +0.232%K +0.320%G +0.003%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -8.09%E -6.37%K -29.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.37%E -5.75%K -26.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 18:00
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.37%E -5.75%K -26.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 18:00
Virgin Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -0.533%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -8.81%E -6.99%K -33.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 18:00
Unibet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 18:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 18:00
Casumo🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 18:00
betPARX🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 18:00
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.64%E -5.15%K -22.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 18:00
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.64%E -5.15%K -22.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 17:59
TAB🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.37%E -5.75%K -26.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 18:00
Unibet (UK)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 18:00
Fliff🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -9.54%E -7.63%K -38.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-19 18:00
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 18:00
Coolbet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.47%E -3.39%K -13.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 17:59
Betsson🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 18:00
Pinnacle🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -0.853%E -0.622%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-19 17:39
TABtouch🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 18:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.64%E -5.15%K -22.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 18:00
LiveScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.64%E -5.15%K -22.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 18:00
Grosvenor🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.64%E -5.15%K -22.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 18:00
Bally Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.64%E -5.15%K -22.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 18:00
DraftKings🎯3.33I 30.03%NM 28.54%EV -7.99%E -2.40%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.46%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 18:00
Caesars🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.19%E -3.97%K -16.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 17:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 18:00
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.64%E -5.15%K -22.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 18:00
LeoVegas🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.37%E -5.75%K -26.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-19 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -8.09%E -6.37%K -29.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-19 18:00
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -1.58%E -1.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -1.58%E -1.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 17:39
BetUS🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.30%E -1.70%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 17:59
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.02%E -2.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 18:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.02%E -2.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 18:00
888sport🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 18:00
888sport (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 18:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 18:00
Winamax (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.92%E -4.55%K -19.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 18:00
SportsBet🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV -11.03%E -3.43%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 17:53
GTbets🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -0.129%E -0.093%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 17:39
Bet Right🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.30%E -1.70%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:50
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -3.02%E -2.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 17:50
1xBet🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -11.86%E -3.72%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -1.58%E -1.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 17:39
Unibet (FR)🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -12.14%E -3.82%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV -3.02%E -2.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 17:39
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.35%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.58%E -1.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 17:39
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.35%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.58%E -1.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.35%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 17:39
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.35%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 17:39
PMU (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.35%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 17:54
Everygame🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -17.11%E -5.70%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -3.75%E -2.82%K -11.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 17:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-03-19 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-03-19 18:00
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%1.3%2026-03-19 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%1.3%2026-03-19 18:00
Smarkets3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%5.3%2026-03-19 18:00
Novig3.57I 28.01%NM 26.39%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.61%6.1%2026-03-19 18:00