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Storm Hunter v Rebeka Masarova

Kickoff: 2026-03-16 18:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Storm Hunter (Local)

Prediction 40.11%2.49fair odd
EV +0.273%
Edge +0.109%
Kelly +0.182%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%40.06%40.70%42.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.322.312.5045.45%43.07%43.20%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rebeka Masarova (Visit)

Prediction 59.89%1.67fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.715%
Kelly -1.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.59%59.94%59.30%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.571.571.6566.67%63.54%63.69%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Storm Hunter (Local): 40.11%; Rebeka Masarova (Visit): 59.89%. For Storm Hunter (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.49. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.273%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +0.273%E +0.109%K +0.182%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.16%E -6.78%K -20.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-16 18:05
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +0.273%E +0.109%K +0.182%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.16%E -6.78%K -20.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-16 18:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +0.273%E +0.109%K +0.182%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.16%E -6.78%K -20.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-16 18:05
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.74%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.17%E -4.63%K -13.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-16 18:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.54%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-16 18:04
Pinnacle🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.34%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.98%E -1.84%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -6.55%E -2.81%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -1.18%E -0.715%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-16 18:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -6.55%E -2.81%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -1.18%E -0.715%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-16 18:04
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.75%E -3.37%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-16 18:05
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -9.75%E -4.34%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -2.38%E -1.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-16 18:03
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.75%E -4.34%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-16 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.75%E -4.34%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-16 18:05
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -11.76%E -5.35%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.98%E -1.84%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-16 17:40
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -11.76%E -5.35%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.98%E -1.84%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-16 18:05
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -11.76%E -5.35%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-16 18:00
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -11.76%E -5.35%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -5.97%E -3.80%K -10.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-16 18:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%1.7%2026-03-16 18:05